PNW

Pinnacle West Capital

About the company

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, through its subsidiary, provides retail and wholesale electric services in the state of Arizona. The company engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity using nuclear, gas, oil, coal, and solar generating facilities. Its transmission facilities include overhead lines and underground lines; and distribution facilities consist of overhead lines and underground primary cables. The company also owns and maintains substations, including transmission and distribution yards; and owns energy storage facilities. Pinnacle West Capital Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

Market price
USD 103.83
Price below modeled range
Base value (EV/Sales (Rule of 40)) is 176.9% above the market price · low confidence
Relative 5-year outlook: 7.1% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 20:27; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 4 h ago). Last earnings: 03 Nov 2026
Model comparison

Price below modeled range

PriceUSD 103.83
Modeled value rangeUSD 181.57–393.52base 287.55
Estimate reliabilityHigh
Relative 5-year outlook7.1% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 6.33% growth, 2.2% terminal growth and 8.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 6.33%, discount rate 8.60%, terminal growth 2.20% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.3% (sector default 4.0%, own revenue history 7.3%, analyst revenue consensus 7.0%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 7.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 7.0% a year; the growth assumption used is 6.3%.

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Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — USD 56.04 (-46.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 84.91 (-18.2%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 83.12 (-19.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 287.55 (+176.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 181.57–393.52
Base scenario / share USD 287.55
Margin of safety (share of value) Price below the bear case
Bear USD 181.5742.8%
Base USD 287.5563.9%
Bull USD 393.5273.6%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

5 years price change: +104.84% · USD 103.83 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 287.55). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (2 hours, 28 minutes ago).

08 Nov 2021Range USD 50.69 – 107.0805 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 60 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 0 of 5 years0 / 20
Growthrevenue +7.2% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 7.5x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 40%20 / 20

Peers in Utilities

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
PNW (this company) USD 103.83 -85.3% 19.5 1.7 3.4% 60
ED Consolidated Edison USD 121.44 29.8% 20.3 1.7 2.7% 78
ENGI.PA Engie SA EUR 24.20 15.2% 16.0 1.9 7.4% 76
FORTUM.HE Fortum Oyj EUR 23.20 -3.8% 25.8 2.6 6.0% 72
D Dominion Energy USD 69.64 -5.5% 22.7 2.1 3.8% 76
CMS CMS Energy USD 70.68 -6.5% 25.4 2.3 3.2% 64
CNA.L Centrica plc GBP 1.51 -6.6% – 2.3 3.3% 92
NTGY.MC Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. EUR 29.54 -10.6% 14.2 3.1 5.9% 70
EIX Edison International USD 60.88 -11.3% 6.4 1.3 5.6% 52
Peer median 20.3 2.2

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 3.66 per share · yield 3.52% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)3.655
20253.595
20243.535
20233.475
20223.415
20213.340
Sector Utilities
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 16:18

RevenueUSD 5,706,259,000
EBITDAUSD 2,274,244,000
EBITUSD 1,259,566,000
Net incomeUSD 661,137,000
Free cash flowUSD -931,926,000
Capital expendituresUSD 2,761,147,000
DebtUSD 16,966,884,000
CashUSD 11,124,000
Working capitalUSD -865,712,000
Shares outstanding124,339,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 3.5094