V

Visa Inc.

Visa Inc. operates as a payment technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions. It also offers credit, debit, and prepaid card products; tap to p… Visa Inc. operates as a payment technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions. It also offers credit, debit, and prepaid card products; tap to pay, tokenization, and click to pay services; Visa Direct, a platform which facilitates money movement, enabling clients to collect, hold, convert, and send funds across its network; and issuing solutions, such as airport lounge access, dining reservations, shopping experiences, event tickets, and seller offers. In addition, the company provides acceptance solutions, an omnichannel payment integration with e-commerce platforms; risk detection and prevention solutions; and advisory and other services comprising consulting practice, proprietary analytics models, data scientists and economists, marketing services, and managed services. It provides its services under the Visa, Visa Electron, V PAY, Interlink, and PLUS brands. The company serves consumers, sellers, financial institutions, and government entities. Visa Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Market price
USD 414.00
Undervalued by 53.8%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 53.8% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:42; FY2025, period ended 30 Sep 2025 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 18 h ago). Last earnings: 27 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceUSD 414.00
Fair value range489.70–897.21base 636.86
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Dividend discount model disagrees strongly.

Why: Dividends are small or missing, and cash-flow models do not suit financials, so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 9.43% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 9.43%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 9.4% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 10.9%, analyst revenue consensus 10.7%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 10.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 9.4%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are small or missing, and cash-flow models do not suit financials, so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Earnings-based DCF — USD 571.13 (+38.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 607.89 (+46.8%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 860.63 (+107.9%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 636.86 (+53.8%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 627.69 (+51.6%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 853.26 (+106.1%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 1218.27 (+194.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 489.70–897.21
Base scenario / share USD 636.86
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear USD 489.7015.5%
Base USD 636.8635.0%
Bull USD 897.2153.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +10.1% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.4x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 64%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
V (this company) USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 73.92 30.0% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
Peer median 7.6 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 2.68 per share · yield 0.65% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)2.010
20252.440
20242.150
20231.870
20221.575
20211.335
Sector Financials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 30 Sep 2025

RevenueUSD 40,000,000,000
EBITDAUSD 25,214,000,000
EBITUSD 23,994,000,000
Net incomeUSD 20,058,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 21,577,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD -1,482,000,000
DebtUSD 25,171,000,000
CashUSD 17,164,000,000
Working capitalUSD 2,718,000,000
Shares outstanding469,280,842
Reported dividends per shareUSD 0.5900