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BX

Blackstone Inc.

Blackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in private equity, venture capital, real estate, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage, seed, middle market, matu… Blackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in private equity, venture capital, real estate, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage, seed, middle market, mature, late venture, growth capital, emerging growth, turnaround, and later stage companies. It also provide capital markets services. The real estate segment specializes in opportunistic, core+ investments as well as debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate, and stabilized income-oriented commercial real estate across North America, Europe and Asia. Within fund of fund investments, it seeks to invest in private equity funds, venture capital funds, mezzanine funds, distressed debt/turnaround funds, secondary investment funds & real estate funds. The firm's corporate private equity business pursues transactions throughout the world across a variety of transaction types, including large buyouts, recapitalization, special situations, distressed mortgage loans, mid-cap buyouts, buy and build platforms, which involves multiple acquisitions behind a single management team and platform, and growth equity/development projects involving significant majority stakes in portfolio companies and minority investments in operating companies, shipping, real estate, corporate or consumer loans, and alternative energy greenfield development projects in energy and power, property, dislocated markets, shipping opportunities, financial institution breakups, re-insurance, and improving freight mobility, financial services, cargo, data processing, oil & gas production, oil & gas refining, oil & gas storage, building products, home entertainment, B2B, consumer electronics, home supply store, lodging, commercial services & supplies, metal & mineral mining machinery, coal, hazardous waste collection, solid waste collection, waste water treatment, renewable electricity, equity REITs, power generation by nuclear & fossil
Market price
USD 119.01
Overvalued by 41.1%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 41.1% below the market price
5-year outlook: 11.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 19 h ago). Last earnings: 22 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 119.01
Fair value range51.49–103.15base 70.15
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook11.6% / yr≈ USD 205.78 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 11.54% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 11.54%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 11.5% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history -10.0%, analyst revenue consensus 25.4%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 11.6% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 25.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 11.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — USD 66.70 (-44.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 55.04 (-53.8%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 108.47 (-8.9%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 70.15 (-41.1%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: EBITDA is missing, zero or negative.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 107.29 (-9.8%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 30.00 (-74.8%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 51.49–103.15
Base scenario / share USD 70.15
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 51.49-131.1%
Base USD 70.15-69.7%
Bull USD 103.15-15.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +17.3% a year20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
BX (this company) USD 119.01 -68.4% 25.4 9.9 4.2% 100
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.6 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 5.06 per share · yield 4.25% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)5.060
20254.690
20243.450
20233.320
20224.940
20213.570
Sector Financials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueUSD 14,450,265,000
EBITDAUSD
EBITUSD
Net incomeUSD 3,019,214,000
Free cash flowUSD 4,547,458,000
Capital expendituresUSD -115,703,000
DebtUSD 12,576,587,000
CashUSD 2,631,241,000
Working capitalUSD
Shares outstanding780,215,856
Reported dividends per shareUSD 4.6900