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AUTO.L

Autotrader Group plc

Autotrader Group plc operates an automotive platform in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Autotrader and Autorama segments. It provides vehicle advertisement on its websites for private sellers, as well as insurance and loan finance products to consumers; and display advertising on i… Autotrader Group plc operates an automotive platform in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Autotrader and Autorama segments. It provides vehicle advertisement on its websites for private sellers, as well as insurance and loan finance products to consumers; and display advertising on its websites for manufacturers and their advertising agencies. The company also sells new vehicles and accessories; and facilitates the lease of new vehicles. It offers its products to retailers, home traders, and logistics customers. The company was formerly known as Auto Trader Group plc and changed its name to Autotrader Group plc in January 2026. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 5.46
Undervalued by 88.9%
Base value (EV/Sales (Rule of 40)) is 88.9% above the market price
5-year outlook: 10.1% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:55; FY2026, period ended 31 Mar 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 9 min ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceGBP 5.46
Fair value range7.68–12.95base 10.31
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook10.1% / yr≈ GBP 8.85 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/Sales (Rule of 40)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 6.8% growth, 2.9% terminal growth and 10.4% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 6.80%, discount rate 10.40%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.8% (sector default 7.0%, own revenue history 9.6%, analyst revenue consensus 5.3%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 10.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 5.3% a year; the growth assumption used is 6.8%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — GBP 5.37 (-1.6%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 4.67 (-14.4%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 5.37 (-1.6%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 4.53 (-17.0%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 5.51 (+0.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 5.34 (-2.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 10.31 (+88.9%)
    Not used: Used only when cash-flow models land far below the price; here they do not.
Illustrative range / share GBP 7.68–12.95
Base scenario / share GBP 10.31
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear GBP 7.6828.9%
Base GBP 10.3147.1%
Bull GBP 12.9557.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +9.6% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.5x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 66%20 / 20

Peers in Communication Services

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AUTO.L (this company) GBP 5.46 -1.6% 16.0 11.6 2.0% 100
DTE.DE Deutsche Telekom AG EUR 25.87 49.7% 14.4 2.1 5.5% 82
PUB.PA Publicis Groupe S.A. EUR 102.60 42.0% 15.7 2.5 3.5% 90
VOD.L Vodafone Group Public Limited Company GBP 1.17 42.0% – 0.7 3.2% 66
CMCSA Comcast USD 24.95 39.1% 7.9 1.0 5.4% 82
TEF.MC Telefonica, S.A. EUR 3.36 33.8% – – 8.9% 59
INF.L Informa plc GBP 8.40 23.0% – 1.9 2.4% 66
SONY Sony Group Corporation USD 27.54 19.5% – – – 82
EMBRAC-B.ST Embracer Group AB SEK 95.44 18.5% – 1.0 – 56
Peer median 14.4 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.00 per share · yield 0.02% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.001
20250.001
20240.001
20230.001
20220.001
20210.001
Sector Communication Services
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Mar 2026

RevenueGBP 624,300,000
EBITDAGBP 412,000,000
EBITGBP 388,600,000
Net incomeGBP 293,900,000
Free cash flowGBP 298,900,000
Capital expendituresGBP 27,300,000
DebtGBP 211,000,000
CashGBP 18,200,000
Working capitalGBP 45,400,000
Shares outstanding862,666,250
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.1091