AENA.MC

Aena S.M.E., S.A.

Aena S.M.E., S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the management of airports in Spain, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and Colombia. The company operates through Airports, Real Estate Services, Región de Murcia International Airport, and International segments. It also manages comme… Aena S.M.E., S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the management of airports in Spain, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and Colombia. The company operates through Airports, Real Estate Services, Región de Murcia International Airport, and International segments. It also manages commercial spaces in airport terminals, and a network of car parks; and leasing or transfer use of land, office buildings, warehouses, hangars, and cargo vessels to airlines, air cargo operators, handling agents and other airport service providers. In addition, the company is involved in the operation of duty-free shops, food and beverage, and specialty shops; rental of cars; advertising; baggage wrapping machines; other vending machines; regulated services, including pharmacies, tobacconists, lottery vendors, etc.; and provision of financial services, such as currency exchange, VAT refunds, and ATMs, as well as advisory services to international airports. Aena S.M.E., S.A. was formerly known as Aena, S.A. and changed its name to Aena S.M.E., S.A. in April 2017. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. Aena S.M.E., S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Entidad Pública Empresarial ENAIRE.
Market price
EUR 28.00
Overvalued by 40.5%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 40.5% below the market price
5-year outlook: 9.1% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 min ago). Last earnings: 27 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceEUR 28.00
Fair value range12.15–24.57base 16.66
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook9.1% / yr≈ EUR 43.24 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 7.62% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 7.62%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 7.6% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 14.5%, analyst revenue consensus 4.9%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 4.9% a year; the growth assumption used is 7.6%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — EUR 21.31 (-23.9%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 21.87 (-21.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 21.31 (-23.9%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 16.66 (-40.5%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 27.71 (-1.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 21.14 (-24.5%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 55.45 (+98.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 12.15–24.57
Base scenario / share EUR 16.66
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear EUR 12.15-130.4%
Base EUR 16.66-68.1%
Bull EUR 24.57-13.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +12.7% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.4x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 58%20 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AENA.MC (this company) EUR 28.00 -31.4% 18.0 4.5 3.5% 100
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.60 64.7% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.31 59.5% 7.9 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.45 55.4% – 0.8 2.1% 46
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 153.20 47.3% – 0.6 – 64
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.79 45.8% 19.8 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 110.60 42.8% 12.8 2.0 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 88.95 40.9% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.2 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 1.09 per share · yield 3.89% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.090
20250.976
20240.766
20230.475
Sector Industrials
Exchange BME Spanish Exchanges
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 16:58

RevenueEUR 6,766,877,000
EBITDAEUR 3,911,740,999
EBITEUR 3,133,234,999
Net incomeEUR 2,332,069,000
Free cash flowEUR 2,158,650,000
Capital expendituresEUR 927,177,000
DebtEUR 7,933,873,000
CashEUR 2,557,459,000
Working capitalEUR 892,571,000
Shares outstanding1,500,000,000