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NTGY.MC

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

About the company

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the supply, liquefaction, regasification, transport, storage, distribution, and sale of gas. It operates through Distribution Networks and Energy Markets segments. The company is involved in the regulated gas and electricity distribution; management of transport infrastructure; trade and shipping of liquefied natural gas; supply, procurement, and management of other gas infrastructure; and management of gas pipeline. It also manages conventional thermal generation facilities; facilities and generation projects using wind energy, mini hydro, solar and cogeneration, as well as hydroelectric power; photovoltaic generation projects; and renewable electricity generation projects. In addition, the company is involved in renewable gas projects, such as biomethane and green hydrogen; supply of gas, electricity and services to end customers. It operates in Spain, Australia, the United States, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Panama, the rest of Latin America, and the rest of Europe. The company was formerly known as Gas Natural SDG, S.A. and changed its name to Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. in June 2018. Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. was incorporated in 1843 and is based in Madrid, Spain.

Market price
EUR 29.54
Price below modeled range
Base value (EV/Sales (Rule of 40)) is 247.0% above the market price · low confidence
Relative 5-year outlook: 6.7% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 20:27; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 10 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Model comparison

Price below modeled range

PriceEUR 29.54
Modeled value rangeEUR 73.75–131.23base 102.49
Estimate reliabilityHigh
Relative 5-year outlook6.7% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 2% growth, 2.2% terminal growth and 8.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 8.60%, terminal growth 2.20% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 4.0%, own revenue history -3.2%, analyst revenue consensus -0.9%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 6.7% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -0.9% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — EUR 26.71 (-9.6%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 32.24 (+9.2%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 26.33 (-10.9%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 26.67 (-9.7%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 51.69 (+75.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 26.34 (-10.8%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 102.49 (+247.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 73.75–131.23
Base scenario / share EUR 102.49
Margin of safety (share of value) Price below the bear case
Bear EUR 73.7559.9%
Base EUR 102.4971.2%
Bull EUR 131.2377.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

5 years price change: +76.52% · EUR 29.74 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (EUR 102.49). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (2 hours, 38 minutes ago).

08 Nov 2021Range EUR 16.18 – 30.4705 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 70 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue -3.2% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.3x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 27%20 / 20

Peers in Utilities

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
NTGY.MC (this company) EUR 29.54 -10.6% 14.2 3.1 5.9% 70
ED Consolidated Edison USD 121.44 29.8% 20.3 1.7 2.7% 78
ENGI.PA Engie SA EUR 24.20 15.2% 16.0 1.9 7.4% 76
FORTUM.HE Fortum Oyj EUR 23.20 -3.8% 25.8 2.6 6.0% 72
D Dominion Energy USD 69.64 -5.5% 22.7 2.1 3.8% 76
CMS CMS Energy USD 70.68 -6.5% 25.4 2.3 3.2% 64
CNA.L Centrica plc GBP 1.51 -6.6% – 2.3 3.3% 92
EIX Edison International USD 60.88 -11.3% 6.4 1.3 5.6% 52
NEE NextEra Energy USD 88.25 -16.2% 15.9 3.0 2.7% 72
Peer median 20.3 2.2

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 1.77 per share · yield 5.99% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.770
20251.800
20241.400
20231.500
20221.200
20211.330
Sector Utilities
Exchange BME Spanish Exchanges
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 19,455,000,000
EBITDAEUR 5,184,000,000
EBITEUR 3,583,000,000
Net incomeEUR 2,023,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 2,376,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 2,149,000,000
DebtEUR 16,747,000,000
CashEUR 4,662,000,000
Working capitalEUR 1,404,000,000
Shares outstanding969,613,000
Reported dividends per shareEUR 1.7285