Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

DNB Bank ASA (DNB.OL)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 13:22.

Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in NOK and a share price of NOK 325.30. Growth begins at 6.7% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA n/a, net 46.0%, free cash flow -28.3% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Free cash flow is negative today, so the projection keeps it negative. It does not model a turnaround.
For banks, insurers and holding companies, revenue and cash flow mix in interest and investment flows. Read net income rather than free cash flow.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (5.3%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
NOK 330.70Model fair value (Justified P/B (ROE)); range NOK 280.46 to NOK 419.58
2%Fair value vs today's price
HighModel confidence
75%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data.

9.5%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
NOK 135.57BRevenue in year 10 (base)
NOK 62.30BNet income in year 10 (base)
-NOK 38.35BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
NOK 25.67Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
NOK 586.39Implied share price in year 10 (base), today NOK 325.30
-8.3%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Book value per share over time

NOK 0.00 NOK 99.11 NOK 198.22 NOK 297.33 NOK 396.44 TTM through 30 Sep 2026 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Book value per share in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -0.7% NOK 321.33 4.9%
Base 5.3% NOK 354.65 5.9%
Bull 11.3% NOK 396.44 7.1%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Sep 2026– NOK 88.45B–NOK 40.65B-NOK 25.02B 28.59-17.6016.75199.19325.30
Year 15.3% NOK 93.11B–NOK 42.79B-NOK 26.34B 30.09-18.5217.63211.66346.51
Year 25.8% NOK 98.46B–NOK 45.25B-NOK 27.85B 31.83-19.5918.65224.84369.01
Year 35.8% NOK 104.14B–NOK 47.86B-NOK 29.46B 33.66-20.7219.72238.78392.86
Year 45.3% NOK 109.65B–NOK 50.39B-NOK 31.02B 35.44-21.8220.76253.46418.04
Year 54.8% NOK 114.92B–NOK 52.81B-NOK 32.51B 37.14-22.8621.76268.84444.51
Year 64.3% NOK 119.89B–NOK 55.10B-NOK 33.91B 38.75-23.8522.70284.89471.04
Year 73.8% NOK 124.49B–NOK 57.21B-NOK 35.22B 40.24-24.7723.58301.55498.60
Year 83.4% NOK 128.68B–NOK 59.14B-NOK 36.40B 41.59-25.6024.37318.78527.08
Year 92.9% NOK 132.39B–NOK 60.84B-NOK 37.45B 42.79-26.3425.07336.50556.38
Year 102.4% NOK 135.57B–NOK 62.30B-NOK 38.35B 43.82-26.9725.67354.65586.39

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.