Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

DSV A/S (DSV.CO)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 13:25.

Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in DKK and a share price of DKK 1,451.00. Growth begins at 2.8% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.7% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 9.7%, net 2.6%, free cash flow 3.0% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (1.6%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
DKK 193.79Model fair value (Free-cash-flow DCF); range DKK 57.83 to DKK 435.72
-87%Fair value vs today's price
HighModel confidence
75%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.

-6.6%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
DKK 386.01BRevenue in year 10 (base)
DKK 10.08BNet income in year 10 (base)
DKK 11.64BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
DKK 9.02Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
DKK 654.88Implied share price in year 10 (base), today DKK 1,451.00
3.4%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Free cash flow over time

DKK 0 DKK 6.26B DKK 12.53B DKK 18.79B DKK 25.05B FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 TTM through 30 Sep 2026 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Free cash flow in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -4.4% DKK 8.19B -1.0%
Base 1.7% DKK 11.64B 2.6%
Bull 7.7% DKK 16.31B 6.1%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Sep 2026– DKK 299.49BDKK 28.98BDKK 7.82BDKK 9.03B 32.8037.857.00541.961,451.00
Year 11.7% DKK 304.43BDKK 29.46BDKK 7.95BDKK 9.18B 33.3438.477.12568.191,283.25
Year 22.2% DKK 311.16BDKK 30.11BDKK 8.13BDKK 9.38B 34.0739.327.27594.991,115.69
Year 32.8% DKK 319.76BDKK 30.95BDKK 8.35BDKK 9.64B 35.0140.417.47622.53945.16
Year 42.8% DKK 328.56BDKK 31.80BDKK 8.58BDKK 9.91B 35.9841.527.68650.83764.30
Year 52.7% DKK 337.58BDKK 32.67BDKK 8.82BDKK 10.18B 36.9742.667.89679.90572.71
Year 62.7% DKK 346.81BDKK 33.56BDKK 9.06BDKK 10.46B 37.9843.838.11709.77588.38
Year 72.7% DKK 356.27BDKK 34.48BDKK 9.31BDKK 10.74B 39.0145.028.33740.46604.42
Year 82.7% DKK 365.95BDKK 35.42BDKK 9.56BDKK 11.03B 40.0746.248.55771.98620.85
Year 92.7% DKK 375.87BDKK 36.38BDKK 9.82BDKK 11.33B 41.1647.508.79804.35637.67
Year 102.7% DKK 386.01BDKK 37.36BDKK 10.08BDKK 11.64B 42.2748.789.02837.60654.88

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.