Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 12:55.
Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in USD and a share price of USD 60.88. Growth begins at 4.4% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.2% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 39.7%, net 19.8%, free cash flow -0.7% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly; trailing-twelve-month data.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.6% | USD 2.42 | -3.4% |
| Base | 3.4% | USD 3.43 | 0.0% |
| Bull | 9.4% | USD 4.80 | 3.4% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTM through 30 Sep 2026 | – | USD 18.56B | USD 7.37B | USD 3.68B | -USD 132.00M | 9.50 | -0.34 | 3.43 | 46.22 | 60.88 |
| Year 1 | 3.4% | USD 19.20B | USD 7.62B | USD 3.60B | -USD 136.53M | 9.30 | -0.35 | 3.36 | 52.17 | 59.32 |
| Year 2 | 3.8% | USD 19.92B | USD 7.91B | USD 3.53B | -USD 141.70M | 9.11 | -0.37 | 3.29 | 58.00 | 57.81 |
| Year 3 | 3.9% | USD 20.70B | USD 8.21B | USD 3.45B | -USD 147.23M | 8.90 | -0.38 | 3.21 | 63.69 | 56.20 |
| Year 4 | 3.7% | USD 21.46B | USD 8.52B | USD 3.35B | -USD 152.62M | 8.65 | -0.39 | 3.12 | 69.22 | 54.29 |
| Year 5 | 3.4% | USD 22.19B | USD 8.81B | USD 3.23B | -USD 157.83M | 8.34 | -0.41 | 3.01 | 74.54 | 52.08 |
| Year 6 | 3.2% | USD 22.90B | USD 9.09B | USD 3.33B | -USD 162.84M | 8.60 | -0.42 | 3.10 | 80.04 | 53.73 |
| Year 7 | 2.9% | USD 23.57B | USD 9.35B | USD 3.43B | -USD 167.61M | 8.85 | -0.43 | 3.19 | 85.70 | 55.31 |
| Year 8 | 2.7% | USD 24.20B | USD 9.60B | USD 3.52B | -USD 172.12M | 9.09 | -0.44 | 3.28 | 91.51 | 56.79 |
| Year 9 | 2.4% | USD 24.79B | USD 9.84B | USD 3.60B | -USD 176.32M | 9.31 | -0.46 | 3.36 | 97.47 | 58.18 |
| Year 10 | 2.2% | USD 25.34B | USD 10.05B | USD 3.68B | -USD 180.20M | 9.52 | -0.47 | 3.43 | 103.55 | 59.46 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.