Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; Fiscal year 2025; Annual financials downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:56.
Starts from Fiscal year 2025 financials in GBP and a share price of GBP 4.77. Growth begins at 4.9% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 3.1% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 21.8%, net -12.7%, free cash flow 10.5% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 3.5 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly; annual data only.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.4% | GBP 626.87M | 1.3% |
| Base | 2.1% | GBP 783.56M | 3.6% |
| Bull | 5.7% | GBP 974.05M | 5.9% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal year 2025 | – | GBP 5.26B | GBP 1.15B | -GBP 666.70M | GBP 549.90M | -1.04 | 0.86 | n/a | n/a | 4.77 |
| Year 1 | 2.1% | GBP 5.37B | GBP 1.17B | -GBP 680.97M | GBP 561.67M | -1.06 | 0.88 | n/a | n/a | 4.94 |
| Year 2 | 3.4% | GBP 5.56B | GBP 1.21B | -GBP 704.35M | GBP 580.95M | -1.10 | 0.91 | n/a | n/a | 5.18 |
| Year 3 | 4.5% | GBP 5.81B | GBP 1.27B | -GBP 736.21M | GBP 607.23M | -1.15 | 0.95 | n/a | n/a | 5.49 |
| Year 4 | 4.3% | GBP 6.06B | GBP 1.32B | -GBP 768.01M | GBP 633.46M | -1.20 | 0.99 | n/a | n/a | 5.81 |
| Year 5 | 4.1% | GBP 6.31B | GBP 1.38B | -GBP 799.63M | GBP 659.54M | -1.25 | 1.03 | n/a | n/a | 6.13 |
| Year 6 | 3.9% | GBP 6.55B | GBP 1.43B | -GBP 830.92M | GBP 685.35M | -1.30 | 1.07 | n/a | n/a | 6.37 |
| Year 7 | 3.7% | GBP 6.80B | GBP 1.48B | -GBP 861.75M | GBP 710.78M | -1.35 | 1.11 | n/a | n/a | 6.61 |
| Year 8 | 3.5% | GBP 7.04B | GBP 1.54B | -GBP 891.97M | GBP 735.70M | -1.39 | 1.15 | n/a | n/a | 6.84 |
| Year 9 | 3.3% | GBP 7.27B | GBP 1.59B | -GBP 921.43M | GBP 760.00M | -1.44 | 1.19 | n/a | n/a | 7.06 |
| Year 10 | 3.1% | GBP 7.49B | GBP 1.64B | -GBP 949.99M | GBP 783.56M | -1.49 | 1.23 | n/a | n/a | 7.28 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.