Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA (GBLB.BR)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; Fiscal year 2025; Annual financials downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:37.

Starts from Fiscal year 2025 financials in EUR and a share price of EUR 78.75. Growth begins at 4.0% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 5.3%, net -9.3%, free cash flow 1.0% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

For banks, insurers and holding companies, revenue and cash flow mix in interest and investment flows. Read net income rather than free cash flow.
The company is loss-making today, so the projection keeps the loss margin. It does not model a path to profit.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (4.9%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
Dividends and book value need positive earnings and a dividend today, so they cannot be projected for this company.
EUR 82.35Model fair value (Net asset value (book)); range EUR 73.20 to EUR 91.50
5%Fair value vs today's price
LowModel confidence
25%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Dividend discount model agrees; annual data only; investment holding company: value is its net assets less a typical discount, and book value is only a proxy for what its stakes are worth.

3.5%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
EUR 9.31BRevenue in year 10 (base)
-EUR 869.54MNet income in year 10 (base)
EUR 95.94MFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
EUR 110.74Implied share price in year 10 (base), today EUR 78.75
1.0%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Book value per share over time

This metric is not available for the company, so there is nothing to chart.

Book value per share in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -1.1% n/a –
Base 4.9% n/a –
Bull 10.9% n/a –

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
Fiscal year 2025– EUR 6.69BEUR 352.20M-EUR 625.40MEUR 69.00M -4.940.55n/an/a78.75
Year 14.9% EUR 7.03BEUR 369.60M-EUR 656.29MEUR 72.41M -5.190.57n/an/a82.83
Year 24.4% EUR 7.33BEUR 385.81M-EUR 685.08MEUR 75.58M -5.420.60n/an/a86.66
Year 33.7% EUR 7.60BEUR 399.90M-EUR 710.10MEUR 78.34M -5.610.62n/an/a90.03
Year 43.5% EUR 7.87BEUR 413.79M-EUR 734.76MEUR 81.07M -5.810.64n/an/a93.37
Year 53.3% EUR 8.12BEUR 427.42M-EUR 758.97MEUR 83.74M -6.000.66n/an/a96.66
Year 63.1% EUR 8.38BEUR 440.74M-EUR 782.61MEUR 86.35M -6.190.68n/an/a99.67
Year 72.9% EUR 8.62BEUR 453.68M-EUR 805.60MEUR 88.88M -6.370.70n/an/a102.60
Year 82.8% EUR 8.86BEUR 466.19M-EUR 827.81MEUR 91.33M -6.540.72n/an/a105.43
Year 92.6% EUR 9.09BEUR 478.21M-EUR 849.16MEUR 93.69M -6.710.74n/an/a108.15
Year 102.4% EUR 9.31BEUR 489.69M-EUR 869.54MEUR 95.94M -6.870.76n/an/a110.74

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.