Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

Societe Generale S.A. (GLE.PA)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; Fiscal year 2025; Annual financials downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:56.

Starts from Fiscal year 2025 financials in EUR and a share price of EUR 65.13. Growth begins at 11.8% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 22.2%, net 7.0%, free cash flow -33.7% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Free cash flow is negative today, so the projection keeps it negative. It does not model a turnaround.
For banks, insurers and holding companies, revenue and cash flow mix in interest and investment flows. Read net income rather than free cash flow.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (3.1%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
Dividends and book value need positive earnings and a dividend today, so they cannot be projected for this company.
EUR 77.27Model fair value (Justified P/B (ROE)); range EUR 70.29 to EUR 89.61
19%Fair value vs today's price
MediumModel confidence
50%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; annual data only.

6.8%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
EUR 151.57BRevenue in year 10 (base)
EUR 10.56BNet income in year 10 (base)
-EUR 51.03BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
EUR 125.26Implied share price in year 10 (base), today EUR 65.13
-100.9%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Book value per share over time

This metric is not available for the company, so there is nothing to chart.

Book value per share in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -2.9% n/a –
Base 3.2% n/a –
Bull 9.2% n/a –

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
Fiscal year 2025– EUR 86.16BEUR 19.09BEUR 6.00B-EUR 29.01B 7.73-37.37n/an/a65.13
Year 13.2% EUR 88.87BEUR 19.69BEUR 6.19B-EUR 29.92B 7.98-38.55n/an/a68.43
Year 26.9% EUR 95.03BEUR 21.06BEUR 6.62B-EUR 32.00B 8.53-41.22n/an/a74.52
Year 39.7% EUR 104.22BEUR 23.09BEUR 7.26B-EUR 35.09B 9.35-45.21n/an/a83.19
Year 48.6% EUR 113.22BEUR 25.09BEUR 7.89B-EUR 38.12B 10.16-49.11n/an/a91.97
Year 57.6% EUR 121.82BEUR 26.99BEUR 8.49B-EUR 41.02B 10.93-52.84n/an/a100.67
Year 66.6% EUR 129.81BEUR 28.76BEUR 9.04B-EUR 43.70B 11.65-56.30n/an/a107.27
Year 75.5% EUR 136.97BEUR 30.35BEUR 9.54B-EUR 46.12B 12.29-59.41n/an/a113.19
Year 84.5% EUR 143.10BEUR 31.71BEUR 9.97B-EUR 48.18B 12.84-62.07n/an/a118.25
Year 93.4% EUR 148.02BEUR 32.80BEUR 10.31B-EUR 49.84B 13.28-64.20n/an/a122.32
Year 102.4% EUR 151.57BEUR 33.58BEUR 10.56B-EUR 51.03B 13.60-65.74n/an/a125.26

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.