Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; Fiscal year 2025; Annual financials downloaded 06 Nov 2026 15:54.
Starts from Fiscal year 2025 financials in EUR and a share price of EUR 221.20. Growth begins at 8.1% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.7% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 14.9%, net 7.6%, free cash flow 11.9% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly; annual data only; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years; value is more than 1.5x the Earnings-based DCF value.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.0% | EUR 3.23B | 2.0% |
| Base | 9.0% | EUR 4.52B | 5.6% |
| Bull | 15.0% | EUR 6.26B | 9.0% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal year 2025 | – | EUR 22.14B | EUR 3.31B | EUR 1.67B | EUR 2.63B | 8.13 | 12.80 | 3.79 | 38.70 | 221.20 |
| Year 1 | 9.0% | EUR 24.14B | EUR 3.60B | EUR 1.83B | EUR 2.87B | 8.87 | 13.95 | 4.13 | 43.44 | 241.01 |
| Year 2 | 8.3% | EUR 26.13B | EUR 3.90B | EUR 1.98B | EUR 3.11B | 9.60 | 15.11 | 4.48 | 48.56 | 260.74 |
| Year 3 | 6.9% | EUR 27.94B | EUR 4.17B | EUR 2.11B | EUR 3.33B | 10.26 | 16.15 | 4.79 | 54.04 | 278.52 |
| Year 4 | 6.3% | EUR 29.70B | EUR 4.44B | EUR 2.25B | EUR 3.53B | 10.91 | 17.17 | 5.09 | 59.87 | 295.84 |
| Year 5 | 5.7% | EUR 31.39B | EUR 4.69B | EUR 2.37B | EUR 3.74B | 11.53 | 18.15 | 5.38 | 66.02 | 312.46 |
| Year 6 | 5.1% | EUR 32.99B | EUR 4.93B | EUR 2.50B | EUR 3.93B | 12.12 | 19.07 | 5.65 | 72.49 | 328.40 |
| Year 7 | 4.5% | EUR 34.48B | EUR 5.15B | EUR 2.61B | EUR 4.10B | 12.67 | 19.93 | 5.91 | 79.25 | 343.17 |
| Year 8 | 3.9% | EUR 35.82B | EUR 5.35B | EUR 2.71B | EUR 4.26B | 13.16 | 20.71 | 6.14 | 86.28 | 356.56 |
| Year 9 | 3.3% | EUR 37.00B | EUR 5.53B | EUR 2.80B | EUR 4.40B | 13.60 | 21.39 | 6.34 | 93.54 | 368.32 |
| Year 10 | 2.7% | EUR 38.00B | EUR 5.68B | EUR 2.87B | EUR 4.52B | 13.96 | 21.97 | 6.51 | 100.99 | 378.27 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.