Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

ISS A/S (ISS.CO)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Jun 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 14:16.

Starts from TTM through 30 Jun 2026 financials in DKK and a share price of DKK 298.40. Growth begins at 5.9% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.7% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 6.8%, net 3.2%, free cash flow 5.1% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 3.1 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (6.3%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
DKK 351.92Model fair value (Free-cash-flow DCF); range DKK 236.38 to DKK 557.62
18%Fair value vs today's price
LowModel confidence
25%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years; value is more than 1.5x the Earnings-based DCF value.

5.7%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
DKK 134.69BRevenue in year 10 (base)
DKK 4.28BNet income in year 10 (base)
DKK 6.88BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
DKK 4.76Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
DKK 478.45Implied share price in year 10 (base), today DKK 298.40
14.4%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Free cash flow over time

DKK 0 DKK 2.09B DKK 4.18B DKK 6.27B DKK 8.36B FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 TTM through 30 Jun 2026 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Free cash flow in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear 3.2% DKK 5.63B 2.3%
Base 6.4% DKK 6.88B 4.4%
Bull 9.5% DKK 8.36B 6.4%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Jun 2026– DKK 87.77BDKK 5.97BDKK 2.79BDKK 4.48B 17.4228.013.1056.69298.40
Year 16.4% DKK 93.35BDKK 6.34BDKK 2.96BDKK 4.77B 18.5229.793.3071.92320.19
Year 25.9% DKK 98.89BDKK 6.72BDKK 3.14BDKK 5.05B 19.6331.563.4988.05342.24
Year 35.2% DKK 104.02BDKK 7.07BDKK 3.30BDKK 5.31B 20.6433.203.67105.02363.14
Year 44.8% DKK 109.04BDKK 7.41BDKK 3.46BDKK 5.57B 21.6434.803.85122.81383.99
Year 54.5% DKK 113.91BDKK 7.74BDKK 3.62BDKK 5.82B 22.6136.364.02141.39404.64
Year 64.1% DKK 118.61BDKK 8.06BDKK 3.77BDKK 6.06B 23.5437.854.19160.74421.30
Year 73.8% DKK 123.07BDKK 8.37BDKK 3.91BDKK 6.28B 24.4239.284.35180.82437.16
Year 83.4% DKK 127.26BDKK 8.65BDKK 4.04BDKK 6.50B 25.2640.624.49201.58452.06
Year 93.1% DKK 131.15BDKK 8.91BDKK 4.16BDKK 6.70B 26.0341.864.63222.98465.87
Year 102.7% DKK 134.69BDKK 9.16BDKK 4.28BDKK 6.88B 26.7342.994.76244.95478.45

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.