Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 12:49.
Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in CHF and a share price of CHF 80.20. Growth begins at 5.2% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 3.3% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 19.6%, net 16.3%, free cash flow 19.3% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years; value is more than 1.5x the Earnings-based DCF value.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.0% | CHF 832.52M | 0.7% |
| Base | 5.0% | CHF 1.18B | 4.2% |
| Bull | 11.0% | CHF 1.64B | 7.7% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTM through 30 Sep 2026 | – | CHF 4.04B | CHF 791.39M | CHF 660.89M | CHF 779.87M | 4.60 | 5.42 | 1.26 | 12.37 | 80.20 |
| Year 1 | 5.0% | CHF 4.25B | CHF 830.80M | CHF 693.80M | CHF 818.71M | 4.83 | 5.69 | 1.32 | 15.87 | 84.26 |
| Year 2 | 5.0% | CHF 4.46B | CHF 872.04M | CHF 728.24M | CHF 859.35M | 5.07 | 5.98 | 1.39 | 19.55 | 88.52 |
| Year 3 | 4.7% | CHF 4.67B | CHF 913.34M | CHF 762.73M | CHF 900.05M | 5.31 | 6.26 | 1.45 | 23.40 | 92.79 |
| Year 4 | 4.5% | CHF 4.88B | CHF 954.65M | CHF 797.23M | CHF 940.76M | 5.55 | 6.54 | 1.52 | 27.43 | 97.07 |
| Year 5 | 4.3% | CHF 5.09B | CHF 995.81M | CHF 831.60M | CHF 981.31M | 5.78 | 6.83 | 1.59 | 31.62 | 101.33 |
| Year 6 | 4.1% | CHF 5.30B | CHF 1.04B | CHF 865.68M | CHF 1.02B | 6.02 | 7.11 | 1.65 | 36.00 | 105.49 |
| Year 7 | 3.9% | CHF 5.50B | CHF 1.08B | CHF 899.33M | CHF 1.06B | 6.26 | 7.38 | 1.71 | 40.54 | 109.59 |
| Year 8 | 3.7% | CHF 5.71B | CHF 1.12B | CHF 932.37M | CHF 1.10B | 6.49 | 7.65 | 1.78 | 45.24 | 113.61 |
| Year 9 | 3.5% | CHF 5.90B | CHF 1.16B | CHF 964.66M | CHF 1.14B | 6.71 | 7.92 | 1.84 | 50.11 | 117.55 |
| Year 10 | 3.3% | CHF 6.09B | CHF 1.19B | CHF 996.01M | CHF 1.18B | 6.93 | 8.18 | 1.90 | 55.14 | 121.37 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.