Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 31 Aug 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 12:56.

Starts from TTM through 31 Aug 2026 financials in USD and a share price of USD 115.16. Growth begins at 25.2% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 3.3% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 52.6%, net 26.4%, free cash flow -40.0% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Free cash flow is negative today, so the projection keeps it negative. It does not model a turnaround.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (45.7%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
USD 130.25Model fair value (Earnings-based DCF); range USD 98.56 to USD 183.11
13%Fair value vs today's price
LowModel confidence
25%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: EV/EBITDA (12x) agrees; trailing-twelve-month data; free cash flow is negative, so the earnings may not be turning into cash.

18.5%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
USD 338.81BRevenue in year 10 (base)
USD 89.31BNet income in year 10 (base)
-USD 135.57BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
USD 9.34Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
USD 561.40Implied share price in year 10 (base), today USD 115.16
-39.2%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Net income over time

USD 0 USD 29.71B USD 59.43B USD 89.14B USD 118.85B FY2022 FY2024 FY2026 TTM through 31 Aug 2026 +1 +3 +5 +7 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Net income in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear 39.7% USD 66.46B 13.4%
Base 45.7% USD 89.31B 16.8%
Bull 51.7% USD 118.85B 20.2%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 31 Aug 2026– USD 71.78BUSD 37.72BUSD 18.92B-USD 28.72B 6.31-9.571.9822.26115.16
Year 145.7% USD 104.59BUSD 54.96BUSD 27.57B-USD 41.85B 9.19-13.952.8828.56168.90
Year 234.2% USD 140.39BUSD 73.77BUSD 37.01B-USD 56.17B 12.34-18.723.8737.03228.19
Year 320.3% USD 168.91BUSD 88.76BUSD 44.52B-USD 67.58B 14.84-22.534.6647.21276.32
Year 417.9% USD 199.10BUSD 104.63BUSD 52.48B-USD 79.67B 17.49-26.565.4959.21327.81
Year 515.4% USD 229.84BUSD 120.78BUSD 60.58B-USD 91.97B 20.19-30.666.3473.07380.84
Year 613.0% USD 259.72BUSD 136.48BUSD 68.46B-USD 103.92B 22.82-34.647.1688.72430.35
Year 710.6% USD 287.16BUSD 150.90BUSD 75.69B-USD 114.90B 25.23-38.307.92106.03475.81
Year 88.1% USD 310.49BUSD 163.16BUSD 81.84B-USD 124.24B 27.28-41.418.56124.75514.47
Year 95.7% USD 328.15BUSD 172.44BUSD 86.50B-USD 131.30B 28.83-43.779.05144.53543.73
Year 103.3% USD 338.81BUSD 178.05BUSD 89.31B-USD 135.57B 29.77-45.199.34164.96561.40

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.