Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

Royal Unibrew A/S (RBREW.CO)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Jun 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 14:22.

Starts from TTM through 30 Jun 2026 financials in DKK and a share price of DKK 457.80. Growth begins at 6.0% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 18.1%, net 10.2%, free cash flow 10.0% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (3.9%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
DKK 431.93Model fair value (Free-cash-flow DCF); range DKK 279.63 to DKK 715.06
-6%Fair value vs today's price
HighModel confidence
75%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.

6.2%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
DKK 23.23BRevenue in year 10 (base)
DKK 2.37BNet income in year 10 (base)
DKK 2.31BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
DKK 22.03Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
DKK 643.87Implied share price in year 10 (base), today DKK 457.80
10.4%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Free cash flow over time

DKK 0 DKK 805.58M DKK 1.61B DKK 2.42B DKK 3.22B FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 TTM through 30 Jun 2026 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Free cash flow in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -2.1% DKK 1.64B 0.4%
Base 3.9% DKK 2.31B 3.9%
Bull 9.9% DKK 3.22B 7.4%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
TTM through 30 Jun 2026– DKK 15.82BDKK 2.86BDKK 1.61BDKK 1.57B 33.0032.2615.00127.23457.80
Year 13.9% DKK 16.44BDKK 2.98BDKK 1.67BDKK 1.64B 34.2933.5315.59145.93471.71
Year 24.8% DKK 17.22BDKK 3.12BDKK 1.75BDKK 1.71B 35.9335.1316.33165.53490.03
Year 35.2% DKK 18.12BDKK 3.28BDKK 1.85BDKK 1.80B 37.8136.9717.19186.16511.21
Year 44.8% DKK 19.00BDKK 3.44BDKK 1.93BDKK 1.89B 39.6438.7518.02207.78531.23
Year 54.4% DKK 19.84BDKK 3.59BDKK 2.02BDKK 1.98B 41.3940.4618.81230.35549.85
Year 64.0% DKK 20.63BDKK 3.74BDKK 2.10BDKK 2.05B 43.0542.0919.57253.84571.94
Year 73.6% DKK 21.38BDKK 3.87BDKK 2.18BDKK 2.13B 44.6143.6120.28278.17592.61
Year 83.2% DKK 22.07BDKK 4.00BDKK 2.25BDKK 2.20B 46.0445.0120.93303.28611.63
Year 92.8% DKK 22.68BDKK 4.11BDKK 2.31BDKK 2.26B 47.3346.2721.51329.10628.78
Year 102.4% DKK 23.23BDKK 4.21BDKK 2.37BDKK 2.31B 48.4747.3822.03355.53643.87

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.