Forecast

Financial forecast

Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.

Regions Financial Corporation (RF)

Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; Fiscal year 2025; Annual financials downloaded 04 Nov 2026 15:22.

Starts from Fiscal year 2025 financials in USD and a share price of USD 28.09. Growth begins at 4.3% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA n/a, net 28.6%, free cash flow 28.6% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.

For banks, insurers and holding companies, revenue and cash flow mix in interest and investment flows. Read net income rather than free cash flow.
Year 1 uses analyst consensus revenue growth (5.2%); year 2 is halfway back to the model's own path.
USD 14.65Model fair value (Dividend discount model); range USD 11.35 to USD 20.48
-48%Fair value vs today's price
MediumModel confidence
50%Share of the gap to fair value the price closes by year 5

Confidence: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart; annual data only; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.

4.3%/yrModel-implied annual total return over 10 years, base case (price plus dividends). Raw model level; the screener shows a calibrated ranking instead
USD 10.62BRevenue in year 10 (base)
USD 3.04BNet income in year 10 (base)
USD 3.03BFree cash flow in year 10 (base)
USD 1.45Dividend per share in year 10 (base)
USD 30.14Implied share price in year 10 (base), today USD 28.09
12.1%Year-10 free cash flow per share vs today's price

Dividend per share over time

USD 0.00 USD 0.51 USD 1.01 USD 1.52 USD 2.03 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 Fiscal year 2025 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
Solid: reported Dashed: base projection Shaded: bear to bull range
Dividend per share in year 10 by scenario
CaseStarting growthYear 10Annual growth
Bear -0.8% USD 1.03 0.0%
Base 5.2% USD 1.45 3.5%
Bull 11.2% USD 2.03 7.0%

Base case by year

YearGrowthRevenueEBITDANet incomeFree cash flowEPSFCF / shareDividend / shareBook / shareImplied price
Fiscal year 2025– USD 7.53B–USD 2.16BUSD 2.15B 2.412.401.03n/a28.09
Year 15.2% USD 7.91B–USD 2.27BUSD 2.26B 2.532.521.08n/a28.13
Year 24.6% USD 8.28B–USD 2.37BUSD 2.37B 2.652.641.13n/a27.95
Year 33.9% USD 8.61B–USD 2.47BUSD 2.46B 2.752.751.18n/a27.51
Year 43.7% USD 8.92B–USD 2.56BUSD 2.55B 2.852.851.22n/a26.93
Year 53.5% USD 9.23B–USD 2.65BUSD 2.64B 2.952.951.26n/a26.22
Year 63.3% USD 9.53B–USD 2.73BUSD 2.73B 3.053.041.30n/a27.07
Year 73.0% USD 9.83B–USD 2.81BUSD 2.81B 3.143.131.34n/a27.90
Year 82.8% USD 10.10B–USD 2.89BUSD 2.89B 3.233.221.38n/a28.69
Year 92.6% USD 10.37B–USD 2.97BUSD 2.96B 3.313.311.42n/a29.44
Year 102.4% USD 10.62B–USD 3.04BUSD 3.03B 3.393.391.45n/a30.14

EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.