Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; Fiscal year 2026; Annual financials downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:55.
Starts from Fiscal year 2026 financials in USD and a share price of USD 106.16. Growth begins at 5.0% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 3.1% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 15.4%, net 6.7%, free cash flow 9.8% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 5.3 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; annual data only; profit and cash flow steady for 3 years.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.9% | USD 4.04B | 0.8% |
| Base | 4.4% | USD 5.50B | 4.0% |
| Bull | 9.6% | USD 7.41B | 7.1% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal year 2026 | – | USD 37.91B | USD 5.86B | USD 2.53B | USD 3.72B | 2.21 | 3.26 | 2.47 | n/a | 106.16 |
| Year 1 | 4.4% | USD 39.57B | USD 6.11B | USD 2.64B | USD 3.89B | 2.31 | 3.40 | 2.31 | n/a | 99.04 |
| Year 2 | 4.6% | USD 41.38B | USD 6.39B | USD 2.76B | USD 4.07B | 2.41 | 3.56 | 2.41 | n/a | 91.29 |
| Year 3 | 4.6% | USD 43.28B | USD 6.69B | USD 2.88B | USD 4.25B | 2.52 | 3.72 | 2.52 | n/a | 82.62 |
| Year 4 | 4.4% | USD 45.18B | USD 6.98B | USD 3.01B | USD 4.44B | 2.63 | 3.88 | 2.63 | n/a | 72.81 |
| Year 5 | 4.2% | USD 47.06B | USD 7.27B | USD 3.14B | USD 4.62B | 2.74 | 4.04 | 2.74 | n/a | 61.86 |
| Year 6 | 4.0% | USD 48.92B | USD 7.56B | USD 3.26B | USD 4.81B | 2.85 | 4.20 | 2.85 | n/a | 64.31 |
| Year 7 | 3.7% | USD 50.75B | USD 7.84B | USD 3.38B | USD 4.99B | 2.96 | 4.36 | 2.96 | n/a | 66.71 |
| Year 8 | 3.5% | USD 52.54B | USD 8.12B | USD 3.50B | USD 5.16B | 3.06 | 4.51 | 3.06 | n/a | 69.06 |
| Year 9 | 3.3% | USD 54.28B | USD 8.38B | USD 3.62B | USD 5.33B | 3.16 | 4.66 | 3.16 | n/a | 71.35 |
| Year 10 | 3.1% | USD 55.97B | USD 8.64B | USD 3.73B | USD 5.50B | 3.26 | 4.81 | 3.26 | n/a | 73.56 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.