Project revenue, EBITDA, net income and free cash flow for the next 5 or 10 years. Growth starts at the same rate the valuation uses and fades to the long-run rate, with margins held at today's level. Bear and bull cases move growth by the company's own revenue volatility. It is a model of what the assumptions imply, not a prediction.
Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026; TTM financials updated 06 Nov 2026 12:56.
Starts from TTM through 30 Sep 2026 financials in USD and a share price of USD 84.80. Growth begins at 5.0% a year (the valuation's blended assumption) and fades to 2.4% by year 10. Margins held at EBITDA 25.6%, net 17.6%, free cash flow 22.2% of revenue. Bear and bull move starting growth by 6.0 points and long-run growth by 1 point.
Confidence: Earnings-based DCF agrees; trailing-twelve-month data.
| Case | Starting growth | Year 10 | Annual growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.6% | USD 110.89 | 6.8% |
| Base | 5.4% | USD 125.41 | 8.1% |
| Bull | 11.4% | USD 143.62 | 9.6% |
| Year | Growth | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income | Free cash flow | EPS | FCF / share | Dividend / share | Book / share | Implied price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTM through 30 Sep 2026 | – | USD 130.46B | USD 33.36B | USD 23.01B | USD 28.91B | 7.54 | 9.47 | 2.18 | 57.60 | 84.80 |
| Year 1 | 5.4% | USD 137.47B | USD 35.15B | USD 24.24B | USD 30.46B | 7.95 | 9.98 | 2.30 | 63.25 | 93.24 |
| Year 2 | 5.1% | USD 144.42B | USD 36.93B | USD 25.47B | USD 32.00B | 8.35 | 10.49 | 2.41 | 69.18 | 102.12 |
| Year 3 | 4.5% | USD 150.85B | USD 38.57B | USD 26.61B | USD 33.42B | 8.72 | 10.95 | 2.52 | 75.38 | 111.41 |
| Year 4 | 4.2% | USD 157.13B | USD 40.18B | USD 27.71B | USD 34.81B | 9.08 | 11.41 | 2.62 | 81.84 | 121.11 |
| Year 5 | 3.9% | USD 163.20B | USD 41.73B | USD 28.78B | USD 36.16B | 9.43 | 11.85 | 2.73 | 88.54 | 131.20 |
| Year 6 | 3.6% | USD 169.03B | USD 43.22B | USD 29.81B | USD 37.45B | 9.77 | 12.27 | 2.82 | 95.49 | 141.49 |
| Year 7 | 3.3% | USD 174.58B | USD 44.64B | USD 30.79B | USD 38.68B | 10.09 | 12.68 | 2.92 | 102.66 | 152.12 |
| Year 8 | 3.0% | USD 179.79B | USD 45.97B | USD 31.71B | USD 39.84B | 10.39 | 13.05 | 3.00 | 110.05 | 163.07 |
| Year 9 | 2.7% | USD 184.64B | USD 47.21B | USD 32.56B | USD 40.91B | 10.67 | 13.41 | 3.08 | 117.64 | 174.31 |
| Year 10 | 2.4% | USD 189.07B | USD 48.34B | USD 33.35B | USD 41.89B | 10.93 | 13.73 | 3.16 | 125.41 | 185.82 |
EPS and free cash flow per share assume today's share count. Dividends assume today's payout ratio and book value grows with retained earnings. The implied share price follows the valuation models and is not a price target; override growth settings do not change the model fair value. Margins stay at today's level except where the notes say they drift toward their average, so it does not model margin expansion, buybacks, acquisitions or recessions. It is for information and education only and is not investment advice. See the methodology for how the growth rate is blended.