EME

Emcor

EMCOR Group, Inc. provides electrical and mechanical construction and facilities, building, and industrial services in the United States and the United Kingdom. It offers design, integration, installation, startup, operation, and maintenance services related to power transmission, distribution, and… EMCOR Group, Inc. provides electrical and mechanical construction and facilities, building, and industrial services in the United States and the United Kingdom. It offers design, integration, installation, startup, operation, and maintenance services related to power transmission, distribution, and generation systems; energy solutions; premises electrical and lighting systems; process instrumentation; low-voltage systems; voice and data communications systems; roadway and transit lighting, signaling, and fiber optic lines; computerized traffic control systems, and signal and communication equipment; heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and geothermal solutions; clean-room process ventilation systems; fire protection and suppression systems; plumbing, process, and piping systems; control and filtration systems; water and wastewater treatment systems; central plant heating and cooling systems; crane and rigging; millwright; and steel fabrication, erection, and welding services. The company also provides site-based operations and maintenance; facility management and maintenance; energy retrofit; military base operations support; indoor air quality; floor care and janitorial; landscaping, lot sweeping, and snow removal; vendor management and call center; installation and support for building systems; program development, management, and maintenance for energy systems; technical consulting and diagnostic; infrastructure and building projects; modification and retrofit projects; and reception, security, and catering services. In addition, it offers refinery turnaround planning and engineering; welding; overhaul and maintenance; technical; instrumentation, controls, and electrical; electrical panel design, fabrication, and installation; on-site repair and maintenance; and renewable energy services, as well as design, manufacturing, repair, and hydro blast cleaning services. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
Market price
USD 619.55
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 9.0% above the market price
5-year outlook: 12.1% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 3 h ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 619.55
Fair value range500.78–985.98base 675.14
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook12.1% / yr≈ USD 1095.33 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 11.19% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 11.19%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 11.2% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 14.4%, analyst revenue consensus 12.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 12.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 12.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 11.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 675.14 (+9.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 489.95 (-20.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 675.14 (+9.0%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 476.10 (-23.2%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 656.04 (+5.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 668.79 (+7.9%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 2093.78 (+238.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 500.78–985.98
Base scenario / share USD 675.14
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear USD 500.78-23.7%
Base USD 675.148.2%
Bull USD 985.9837.2%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +15.7% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 12%10 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
EME (this company) USD 619.55 8.2% 17.8 6.4 0.1% 90
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.60 64.7% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.31 59.5% 7.9 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.45 55.4% – 0.8 2.1% 46
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 153.20 47.3% – 0.6 – 64
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.79 45.8% 19.8 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 110.60 42.8% 12.8 2.0 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 88.95 40.9% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.2 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.60 per share · yield 0.26% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.600
20251.000
20240.930
20230.690
20220.540
20210.520
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:54

RevenueUSD 19,841,344,000
EBITDAUSD 2,401,071,000
EBITUSD 2,186,918,000
Net incomeUSD 1,540,898,000
Free cash flowUSD 1,482,102,000
Capital expendituresUSD 128,933,000
DebtUSD 560,514,000
CashUSD 774,752,000
Working capitalUSD 1,025,074,000
Shares outstanding44,245,706
Reported dividends per shareUSD 0.4000