FDX

FedEx

About the company

FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

Market price
USD 316.80
Price within modeled range
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 21.9% below the market price
Relative 5-year outlook: 7.5% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 19:01; TTM through 31 Aug 2026, period ended 31 Aug 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 h ago). Last earnings: 28 Oct 2026
Model comparison

Price within modeled range

PriceUSD 316.80
Modeled value rangeUSD 122.47–493.42base 247.35
Estimate reliabilityHigh
Relative 5-year outlook7.5% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 3.7% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.70%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.7% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 0.3%, analyst revenue consensus 4.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 7.5% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 4.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.7%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 247.90 (-21.7%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 229.57 (-27.5%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 247.90 (-21.7%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 233.59 (-26.3%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 392.51 (+23.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 247.35 (-21.9%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 1013.27 (+219.8%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 122.47–493.42
Base scenario / share USD 247.35
Margin of safety (share of value) Price between the base and bull cases
Bear USD 122.47-158.7%
Base USD 247.35-28.1%
Bull USD 493.4235.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

5 years price change: +74.81% · USD 316.80 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 247.35). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (1 hour, 4 minutes ago).

08 Nov 2021Range USD 110.75 – 335.7305 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 72 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +1.4% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.4x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 10%10 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
FDX (this company) USD 316.80 -27.8% 19.4 2.2 1.7% 72
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.10 64.9% 7.0 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.34 59.3% 8.0 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.56 54.6% – 0.8 2.1% 46
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 152.90 47.4% – 0.6 – 64
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.81 45.4% 20.0 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 111.60 42.2% 12.9 2.1 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 87.45 41.9% 7.1 1.8 1.3% 100
Peer median 9.3 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 4.78 per share · yield 1.51% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)3.608
20254.617
20244.351
20233.973
20223.384
20212.337
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 31 Aug 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:55

RevenueUSD 95,331,000,000
EBITDAUSD 9,727,000,000
EBITUSD 5,483,000,000
Net incomeUSD 3,900,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 5,597,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 3,802,000,000
DebtUSD 34,128,000,000
CashUSD 11,215,000,000
Working capitalUSD 6,163,000,000
Shares outstanding239,000,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 5.5272