ALL

Allstate

The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other. The company offers pri… The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other. The company offers private passenger auto, homeowners, other personal lines and commercial insurance through exclusive agents, independent agents, contact centers and online under the Allstate, National General, Direct Auto and Answer Financial brands. It also provides consumer product protection plans, device and mobile data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, roadside assistance, and protection plans; and insurance products, such as identity protection and restoration. In addition, the company offers property and casualty insurance, as well as engages in company activities and certain non-insurance operations, including expenses associated with strategic initiatives. Further, it offers automotive protection; vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tires and wheels, and paintless dent repair protection; and roadside assistance, mobility data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, identity theft protection, and remediation services. The Allstate Corporation was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
Market price
USD 266.72
Undervalued by 194.5%
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 194.5% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 19:01; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 h ago). Last earnings: 04 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceUSD 266.72
Fair value range482.30–1381.43base 785.38
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Dividend discount model disagrees strongly.

Why: Dividends are small or missing, and cash-flow models do not suit financials, so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 5.01% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 5.01%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.0% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 7.5%, analyst revenue consensus 3.5%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are small or missing, and cash-flow models do not suit financials, so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Earnings-based DCF — USD 329.97 (+23.7%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 665.55 (+149.5%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 785.38 (+194.5%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 700.06 (+162.5%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 723.11 (+171.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 782.27 (+193.3%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 1496.78 (+461.2%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 482.30–1381.43
Base scenario / share USD 785.38
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear USD 482.3044.7%
Base USD 785.3866.0%
Bull USD 1381.4380.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 year price change: +37.31% · USD 266.72 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 785.38). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (46 minutes ago).

06 Nov 2025Range USD 189.52 – 273.9705 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 92 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability3 of 5 years profitable12 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +7.2% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.4x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 23%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ALL (this company) USD 266.72 19.2% 5.7 2.1 1.8% 92
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (Class B) USD 571.97 99.9% 0.0 0.0 – 92
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.66 68.4% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.86 45.8% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.84 36.1% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.23 34.4% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.50 32.6% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.87 30.2% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
Peer median 7.6 1.3

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 4.24 per share · yield 1.59% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)3.240
20254.000
20243.680
20233.560
20223.400
20213.240
Sector Financials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:54

RevenueUSD 67,777,000,000
EBITDAUSD 15,570,000,000
EBITUSD 15,194,000,000
Net incomeUSD 11,642,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 12,734,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 234,000,000
DebtUSD 7,494,000,000
CashUSD 549,000,000
Working capitalUSD
Shares outstanding248,779,577
Reported dividends per shareUSD 4.8075