HII

Huntington Ingalls Industries

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. designs, builds, overhauls, and repairs military ships in the United States. It operates through three segments: Ingalls, Newport News, and Mission Technologies. The company is involved in the design and construction of non-nuclear ships comprising amphibious ass… Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. designs, builds, overhauls, and repairs military ships in the United States. It operates through three segments: Ingalls, Newport News, and Mission Technologies. The company is involved in the design and construction of non-nuclear ships comprising amphibious assault ships, surface combatants, and national security cutters for the U.S. Navy and U.S. Coast Guard. It also provides nuclear-powered ships, such as aircraft carriers and submarines, as well as refueling and overhaul, and inactivation services of nuclear-powered aircraft carriers. In addition, the company offers naval nuclear support services, including fleet services comprising design, construction, maintenance, and disposal activities for in-service the U.S. Navy nuclear ships; and maintenance services on nuclear reactor prototypes. Further, the company provides C5ISR systems and operations; application of artificial intelligence and machine learning to battlefield decisions; defensive and offensive cyberspace strategies and electronic warfare; uncrewed autonomous systems; live, virtual, and constructive solutions; platform modernization; and critical nuclear operations. The company has a strategic partnership with HD Hyundai Heavy Industries to implement intelligent mechanized welding systems at Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.'s Ingalls Shipbuilding division. Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia.
Market price
USD 289.41
Overvalued by 68.3%
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 68.3% below the market price · low confidence
5-year outlook: 6.3% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 19:01; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 h ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 289.41
Fair value range39.84–190.32base 91.68
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook6.3% / yr≈ USD 393.40 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 6.49% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 6.49%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.5% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 7.0%, analyst revenue consensus 6.4%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 6.3% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 6.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 92.51 (-68.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 260.41 (-10.0%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 92.51 (-68.0%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 69.39 (-76.0%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 271.57 (-6.2%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 91.68 (-68.3%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 938.89 (+224.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 39.84–190.32
Base scenario / share USD 91.68
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 39.84-626.4%
Base USD 91.68-215.7%
Bull USD 190.32-52.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 year price change: -3.67% · USD 289.41 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 91.68). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (31 minutes ago).

06 Nov 2025Range USD 257.05 – 449.6805 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 70 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +6.1% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.3x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 8%0 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
HII (this company) USD 289.41 -212.8% 15.6 2.1 1.9% 70
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.10 64.9% 7.0 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.34 59.3% 8.0 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.56 54.6% – 0.8 2.1% 46
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 152.90 47.4% – 0.6 – 64
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.81 45.4% 20.0 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 111.60 42.2% 12.9 2.1 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 87.45 41.9% 7.1 1.8 1.3% 100
Peer median 9.3 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 5.52 per share · yield 1.91% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)4.140
20255.430
20245.250
20235.020
20224.780
20214.600
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:40

RevenueUSD 13,530,000,000
EBITDAUSD 1,108,000,000
EBITUSD 1,016,000,000
Net incomeUSD 733,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 376,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 418,000,000
DebtUSD 2,929,000,000
CashUSD 387,000,000
Working capitalUSD 725,000,000
Shares outstanding39,600,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 5.4798