LII

Lennox International

Lennox International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The Home Comfort Solutions segment provides furnaces, air conditioners,… Lennox International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The Home Comfort Solutions segment provides furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, packaged heating and cooling systems, indoor air quality equipment, comfort control products, and replacement parts and supplies; residential heating, ventilation, cooling equipment, and air conditioning; and evaporator coils, air handlers, and unit heaters under the Lennox, Dave Lennox Signature Collection, Armstrong Air, Ducane, AirEase, Concord, MagicPak, Advanced Distributor Products, Allied, Elite Series, Supco, Linebacker, Elite series, Merit Series, Comfort Sync, Healthy Climate, Healthy Climate Solutions, iComfort, ComfortSense, and Lennox Stores names. The Building Climate Solutions segment offers unitary heating and air conditioning equipment, controls, installation and service of commercial heating and cooling equipment, variable refrigerant flow commercial, curb, curb adapters, drop box diffusers, HVAC recycling, and salvage service. This segment also provides condensing units, unit coolers, fluid coolers, air cooled condensers, process chillers, compressorized racks, and replacement parts and supplies under the Lennox, Model L, CORE, Enlight, Xion, Energence, Prodigy, Strategos, Raider, Lennox VRF, Lennox National Account Services, Allied Commercial, Duro Dyne, Dyne-Tite, Durozone, Elite, AES Industries, Mechanical, Heatcraft Worldwide Refrigeration, Bohn, MAGNA, Larkin, Climate Control, Chandler Refrigeration, IntelliGen, and Interlink brands. The company also offers small package units, rooftop units, chillers, air handlers, and fan coils. It sells its products and services through direct sales, distributors, and company-owned parts and supplies stores. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
Market price
USD 341.69
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 16.3% below the market price
5-year outlook: 7.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 4 h ago). Last earnings: 28 Oct 2026
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 341.69
Fair value range158.19–535.96base 286.06
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook7.8% / yr≈ USD 497.15 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 5.72% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.7% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 5.5%, analyst revenue consensus 5.6%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 7.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 5.6% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 286.06 (-16.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 305.80 (-10.5%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 286.06 (-16.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 281.68 (-17.6%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 341.59 (0.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 285.89 (-16.3%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 703.47 (+105.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 158.19–535.96
Base scenario / share USD 286.06
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 158.19-116.0%
Base USD 286.06-19.4%
Bull USD 535.9636.2%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 92 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +3.7% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.8x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 21%20 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
LII (this company) USD 341.69 -19.4% 15.7 9.0 1.6% 92
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.60 64.8% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.31 59.5% 7.9 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.45 55.4% – 0.8 2.1% 46
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 153.20 47.3% – 0.6 – 64
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.79 45.8% 19.8 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 110.60 42.8% 12.8 2.0 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 88.95 40.9% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.2 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 5.32 per share · yield 1.56% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)4.020
20255.050
20244.550
20234.360
20224.100
20213.530
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:55

RevenueUSD 5,447,900,000
EBITDAUSD 1,152,000,000
EBITUSD 1,022,500,000
Net incomeUSD 749,900,000
Free cash flowUSD 835,700,000
Capital expendituresUSD 153,600,000
DebtUSD 2,084,600,000
CashUSD 45,500,000
Working capitalUSD 389,300,000
Shares outstanding34,500,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 5.3072