TXT

Textron

Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and… Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft, as well as offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services; commercial parts; and advanced flight training devices. The Bell segment supplies military and commercial helicopters, tiltrotor aircraft, and related spare parts and services. The Textron Systems segment offers unmanned aircraft systems, electronic systems and solutions, advanced marine crafts, piston aircraft engines, live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training, weapons and related components, and armored and specialty vehicles. The Industrial segment offers blow-molded solutions, including conventional plastic fuel tanks and pressurized fuel tanks; plastic tanks for catalytic reduction systems and other fuel system components; lightweight and composite pentatonic battery systems for use in electric vehicles primarily to automobile original equipment manufacturers; and golf cars, off-road utility vehicles, powersports products, light transportation vehicles, aviation ground support equipment, professional turf-maintenance equipment, and turf-care vehicles to golf courses and resorts, government agencies and municipalities, consumers, outdoor enthusiasts, and commercial and industrial users. The Textron eAviation segment manufactures and sells light aircraft and gliders with electric and combustion engines; and provides other research and development initiatives related to sustainable aviation solutions. The Finance segment offers financing services to purchase new and pre-owned aviation aircraft and Bell helicopters. Textron Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.
Market price
USD 85.23
Overvalued by 35.1%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 35.1% below the market price
5-year outlook: 6.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 14 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 85.23
Fair value range40.59–81.11base 55.30
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook6.6% / yr≈ USD 117.45 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 5.11% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 5.11%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.1% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 4.6%, analyst revenue consensus 4.8%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 6.6% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 4.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.1%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 62.39 (-26.8%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 79.34 (-6.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 62.39 (-26.8%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 55.30 (-35.1%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 106.65 (+25.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 62.12 (-27.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 276.43 (+224.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 40.59–81.11
Base scenario / share USD 55.30
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 40.59-110.0%
Base USD 55.30-54.1%
Bull USD 81.11-5.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 82 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +3.1% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.1x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 11%10 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
TXT (this company) USD 85.23 -36.6% 15.1 1.8 0.1% 82
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.88 74.3% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.80 64.6% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.37 58.9% 8.0 3.5 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.54 54.7% – 0.8 2.1% 46
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.77 46.2% 19.7 3.3 1.5% 82
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 157.30 45.9% – 0.6 – 64
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 111.75 42.2% 12.9 2.1 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 89.00 40.8% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.3 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 0.08 per share · yield 0.09% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.060
20250.080
20240.080
20230.080
20220.080
20210.080
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:41

RevenueUSD 15,448,000,000
EBITDAUSD 1,688,000,000
EBITUSD 1,285,000,000
Net incomeUSD 973,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 810,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 503,000,000
DebtUSD 3,465,000,000
CashUSD 1,610,000,000
Working capitalUSD 6,091,000,000
Shares outstanding172,532,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 0.0985