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USB

U.S. Bancorp

U.S. Bancorp, a financial services holding company, provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional organizations, governmental entities, and other financial institutions in the United States. The company operates through Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional… U.S. Bancorp, a financial services holding company, provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional organizations, governmental entities, and other financial institutions in the United States. The company operates through Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking; Consumer and Business Banking; Payment Services; and Treasury and Corporate Support segments. It offers depository services, including checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificate contracts; and lending services, such as traditional credit products and credit card services, lease financing and import/export trade, agricultural finance, asset-backed lending, and other products. The company also provides cash management, capital markets, and trust and investment management services; and ancillary services comprising capital markets, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection services to corporate and governmental entity customers. In addition, it offers asset management and fiduciary services for individuals, estates, foundations, business corporations, and charitable organizations; and investment and insurance products to its customers principally within its domestic markets, as well as fund administration services to mutual and other funds. Further, the company provides corporate and purchasing card, and corporate trust services; and credit card services, merchant and ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. U.S. Bancorp was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Market price
USD 59.32
Undervalued by 126.7%
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 126.7% above the market price
5-year outlook: 10.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:42; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 19 min ago). Next earnings: 19 Jan 2027 (in 74 days)
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceUSD 59.32
Fair value range98.75–204.49base 134.46
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook10.8% / yr≈ USD 99.28 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 8.99% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 8.99%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 9.0% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 15.9%, analyst revenue consensus 7.3%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 10.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 7.3% a year; the growth assumption used is 9.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — USD 53.66 (-9.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 69.25 (+16.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 134.46 (+126.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 111.28 (+87.6%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 118.58 (+99.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 133.69 (+125.4%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 221.54 (+273.5%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 98.75–204.49
Base scenario / share USD 134.46
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear USD 98.7539.9%
Base USD 134.4655.9%
Bull USD 204.4971.0%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +15.9% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 24%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
USB (this company) USD 59.32 -10.6% 12.2 1.4 3.8% 100
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.6 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 2.10 per share · yield 3.54% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.580
20252.040
20241.980
20231.930
20221.880
20211.760
Sector Financials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueUSD 42,861,000,000
EBITDAUSD 10,392,000,000
EBITUSD 9,517,000,000
Net incomeUSD 7,576,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 7,970,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 0
DebtUSD 77,926,000,000
CashUSD 137,731,000,000
Working capitalUSD -401,647,000,000
Shares outstanding1,556,000,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 2.2506