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VOW3.DE

Volkswagen AG

Volkswagen AG manufactures automobiles and commercial vehicles in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles; Commercial Vehicles; and Financial Services. The Passenger Cars a… Volkswagen AG manufactures automobiles and commercial vehicles in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles; Commercial Vehicles; and Financial Services. The Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles segment develops vehicles, engines and motors, vehicle software, and vehicle batteries; produces and sells passenger cars and light commercial vehicles, and the parts. This segment also offers compact cars, luxury vehicles, and motorcycles, as well as mobility solutions. The Commercial Vehicles segment engages in the development of vehicles, engines, and motors; production and sale of trucks and buses, parts, and related services. The Financial Services segment engages in the dealership and customer financing, leasing, direct banking, and insurance activities; and provision of fleet management, and mobility services. In addition, the company is involved in the large-bore diesel engines, turbomachinery, and propulsion components businesses. Further, develops physical AI data flywheel for autonomous vehicle development and connects fleet data to simulation, training, and evaluation. It sells its products under the Volkswagen Passenger Cars, "koda, SEAT/CUPRA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Audi, Lamborghini, Bentley, Ducati, Porsche, Scania, MAN, Volkswagen Truck & Bus, TRATON, and Bugatti Rimac, and international commercial vehicles brands to individual, corporate, and fleet customers. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Wolfsburg, Germany. Volkswagen AG operates as a subsidiary of Porsche Automobil Holding SE.
Market price
EUR 69.84
Undervalued by 1263.4%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 1263.4% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from Yahoo Finance (downloaded 2 days ago). Last earnings: 28 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 69.84
Fair value range752.75–1151.60base 952.17
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 3% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 3.86% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.9% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 4.9%, analyst revenue consensus 1.7%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 1.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — EUR 83.98 (+20.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 192.90 (+176.2%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 952.17 (+1263.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 2135.16 (+2957.2%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 752.75–1151.60
Base scenario / share EUR 952.17
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 752.7590.7%
Base EUR 952.1792.7%
Bull EUR 1151.6093.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 56 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 1 of 5 years4 / 20
Growthrevenue +3.2% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 3.7x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 19%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
VOW3.DE (this company) EUR 69.84 16.8% 4.8 – 9.1% 57
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.75 44.8% 27.2 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.90 43.9% 13.9 0.8 3.1% 70
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 41.7% 17.1 21.8 0.7% 100
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.39 37.5% 8.9 1.9 4.2% 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 36.7% 12.5 5.1 – 100
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.72 36.1% 109.4 2.6 – 80
CVNA Carvana USD 72.08 34.5% 9.5 3.7 – 87
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 15.5 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 5.26 per share · yield 7.53% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)5.260
20256.360
20249.060
20238.760
202226.620
20214.860
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange Xetra
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 321,913,000,000
EBITDAEUR 49,985,000,000
EBITEUR 12,551,000,000
Net incomeEUR 7,323,000,000
Free cash flowEUR -9,337,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR -24,346,000,000
DebtEUR 196,357,000,000
CashEUR 73,857,000,000
Working capitalEUR 21,340,000,000
Shares outstanding501,295,263
Reported dividends per shareEUR 6.3600