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HSBA.L

HSBC Holdings plc

About the company

HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the retail banking and wealth and commercial banking of HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank. The UK segment engages in UK retail banking and wealth, as well as first direct and M&S Bank, UK Commercial Banking, and HSBC Innovation Bank. The Corporate and Institutional Banking segment is involved in transaction banking and capital markets. The International Wealth and Premier Banking segment is involved in the business comprising premier banking outside of Hong Kong and the UK, its private bank, asset management, and insurance businesses. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Market price
GBP 13.05
Price within modeled range
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 3.6% above the market price
Relative 5-year outlook: 9.8% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 20:27; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 1 h ago). Last earnings: 27 Oct 2026
Model comparison

Price within modeled range

PriceGBP 13.05
Modeled value rangeGBP 10.48–15.70base 13.52
Estimate reliabilityHigh
Relative 5-year outlook9.8% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price within modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 8.09% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 8.1% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 16.1%, analyst revenue consensus 5.5%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 5.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — GBP 10.68 (-18.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 13.52 (+3.6%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 20.32 (+55.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 19.93 (+52.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 22.52 (+72.6%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 20.31 (+55.6%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 37.84 (+190.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 10.48–15.70
Base scenario / share GBP 13.52
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear GBP 10.48-24.5%
Base GBP 13.523.5%
Bull GBP 15.7016.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

6 months price change: -0.72% · GBP 13.05 · Market data through 06 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (GBP 13.52). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 06 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (2 hours, 11 minutes ago).

07 May 2026Range GBP 12.51 – 15.8106 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +16.0% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 26%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
HSBA.L (this company) GBP 13.05 -22.2% 13.7 1.7 3.8% 100
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.66 68.4% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.86 45.8% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.84 36.1% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.23 34.4% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.50 32.6% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.87 30.2% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 74.07 29.9% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
Peer median 7.6 1.4

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.01 per share · yield 0.04% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.006
20250.005
20240.006
20230.004
20220.002
20210.002
Sector Financials
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueGBP 100,396,487,420
EBITDAGBP 26,071,282,804
EBITGBP 22,390,772,042
Net incomeGBP 16,684,333,265
Free cash flowGBP 18,795,610,797
Capital expendituresGBP 3,489,597,368
DebtGBP 373,806,796,082
CashGBP 456,121,193,171
Working capitalGBP 185,943,989,358
Shares outstanding17,547,000,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.4941