ISP.MI

Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A.

Financials company listed on Borsa Italiana. Business description not available yet.

Market price
EUR 5.89
Undervalued by 29.4%
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 29.4% above the market price
5-year outlook: 10.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price update date unknown; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from Yahoo Finance (downloaded 2 days ago).
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 5.89
Fair value range5.91–8.85base 7.62
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook10.8% / yr≈ EUR 9.84 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 5.73% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 5.73%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.7% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 9.8%, analyst revenue consensus 3.9%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 10.8% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.9% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.7%.

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Why this model: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

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Illustrative range / share EUR 5.91–8.85
Base scenario / share EUR 7.62
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 5.910.3%
Base EUR 7.6222.7%
Bull EUR 8.8533.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 83 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability4 of 4 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 2 of 4 years10 / 20
Growthrevenue +9.8% a year20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ISP.MI (this company) EUR 5.89 -16.0% 11.0 – 6.1% 83
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (Class B) USD 571.97 99.9% 0.0 0.0 – 92
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.66 68.4% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.86 45.8% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.84 36.1% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.23 34.4% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.50 32.6% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.87 30.2% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
Peer median 7.6 1.3
Sector Financials
Exchange Borsa Italiana
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 28,529,000,000
EBITDAEUR
EBITEUR
Net incomeEUR 9,321,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 6,585,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR -1,650,000,000
DebtEUR 139,313,000,000
CashEUR 47,135,000,000
Working capitalEUR
Shares outstanding17,387,732,025
Reported dividends per shareEUR 0.3570