AXON

Axon Enterprise

Axon Enterprise, Inc. provides public safety technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Software and Services, and Connected Devices. The Software and Services segment develops, manufactures, and sells cloud-based software-as-a-service solut… Axon Enterprise, Inc. provides public safety technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Software and Services, and Connected Devices. The Software and Services segment develops, manufactures, and sells cloud-based software-as-a-service solutions to capture, store, manage, share, and analyze video and other digital evidence. This segment also offers Axon Evidence, Draft One, Axon Records, Axon Standards, Axon Fusus, Axon Assistant, and others. The Connected Devices segment engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of integrated hardware solutions, such as conducted energy devices under the TASER brand, body cameras, fixed and in-car cameras, drone and counter-drone technologies, accessories, extended warranties, and related hardware products, as well as virtual reality training hardware. The company serves first responders across international, federal, state, and local governments, international governmental entities, commercial enterprises, and consumers through direct sales, distribution partners, and third-party resellers. The company was formerly known as TASER International, Inc. and changed its name to Axon Enterprise, Inc. in April 2017. Axon Enterprise, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Market price
USD 322.77
Overvalued by 97.2%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 97.2% below the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 16 min ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 322.77
Fair value range3.82–17.75base 8.88
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Free-cash-flow DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Cash-flow models land far below the price for this high-growth company, so it is valued on revenue at the multiple similar-growth peers in its sector trade at.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 17.84% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 17.84%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 17.8% (sector default 6.2%, analyst revenue consensus 29.5%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 29.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 17.8%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Cash-flow models land far below the price for this high-growth company, so it is valued on revenue at the multiple similar-growth peers in its sector trade at.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Peer EV/Sales (growth peers) — USD 129.17 (-60.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 34.02 (-89.5%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 28.18 (-91.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Peer EV/Sales (growth peers) ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 8.88 (-97.2%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 55.61 (-82.8%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 27.71 (-91.4%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 241.09 (-25.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 3.82–17.75
Base scenario / share USD 8.88
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 3.82-8339.9%
Base USD 8.88-3534.3%
Bull USD 17.75-1717.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +28.3% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.4x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 15%10 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AXON (this company) USD 322.77 -149.9% 133.5 7.2 – 80
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.60 64.8% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.31 59.5% 7.9 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.45 55.4% – 0.8 2.1% 46
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 153.20 47.3% – 0.6 – 64
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.79 45.8% 19.8 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 110.60 42.8% 12.8 2.0 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 88.95 40.9% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.2 1.9
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 17:23

RevenueUSD 3,219,099,000
EBITDAUSD 477,457,999
EBITUSD 368,082,999
Net incomeUSD 199,553,000
Free cash flowUSD 133,192,000
Capital expendituresUSD 132,617,000
DebtUSD 1,833,475,000
CashUSD 692,533,000
Working capitalUSD 1,606,468,000
Shares outstanding82,518,000