SAMPO.HE

Sampo Oyj

Sampo Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides non-life insurance products and services in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Spain, Gibraltar, Germany, the Netherlands, France, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Private Nordic, Private UK, Nordic C… Sampo Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides non-life insurance products and services in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Spain, Gibraltar, Germany, the Netherlands, France, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Private Nordic, Private UK, Nordic Commercial, and Nordic Industrial segments. It offers property, casualty, liability, accident, sickness, household, homeowner, motor, travel, marine, aviation, transport, forest, livestock, health, workers compensation, car, van, and bike insurance, as well as reinsurance products under the If, Topdanmark, and Hastings brand names. Sampo Oyj was founded in 1909 and is based in Helsinki, Finland.
Market price
EUR 9.72
Within modeled range
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 9.5% below the market price
5-year outlook: 6.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 day ago). Next earnings: 04 Feb 2027 (in 90 days)
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceEUR 9.72
Fair value range6.35–13.22base 8.80
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook6.8% / yr≈ EUR 13.49 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 6.96% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 6.96%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 7.0% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 10.3%, analyst revenue consensus 6.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 6.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 7.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — EUR 4.84 (-50.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 9.16 (-5.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 8.86 (-8.9%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 7.20 (-26.0%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 10.02 (+3.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 8.80 (-9.5%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 23.37 (+140.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 6.35–13.22
Base scenario / share EUR 8.80
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear EUR 6.35-53.2%
Base EUR 8.80-10.5%
Bull EUR 13.2226.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +11.6% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.7x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 20%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
SAMPO.HE (this company) EUR 9.72 -101.0% 15.1 3.7 3.5% 90
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.0 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 0.36 per share · yield 3.70% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.360
20250.340
20240.360
20230.520
20220.820
20210.309
Sector Financials
Exchange Nasdaq Helsinki
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 05 Nov 2026 16:07

RevenueEUR 11,928,000,000
EBITDAEUR 2,357,000,000
EBITEUR 2,142,000,000
Net incomeEUR 1,711,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 1,462,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 175,000,000
DebtEUR 3,192,000,000
CashEUR 1,511,000,000
Working capitalEUR
Shares outstanding2,655,674,826