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MANTA.HE

Mandatum Oyj

Mandatum Oyj provides various financial services in Finland. The company offers asset and wealth management, savings and investment, compensation, and rewards consultation, as well as pension plans and personal risk insurance solutions. It also operates online trading platform. The company serves c… Mandatum Oyj provides various financial services in Finland. The company offers asset and wealth management, savings and investment, compensation, and rewards consultation, as well as pension plans and personal risk insurance solutions. It also operates online trading platform. The company serves corporate, retail, institutional, and wealth management clients. Mandatum Oyj was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.
Market price
EUR 5.92
Overvalued by 32.4%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 32.4% below the market price
5-year outlook: 4.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 23 min ago). Next earnings: 10 Nov 2026 (in 4 days)
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceEUR 5.92
Fair value range3.35–4.66base 4.00
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook4.8% / yr≈ EUR 7.48 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 2% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history -10.0%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 4.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — EUR 2.83 (-52.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 3.45 (-41.8%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 11.81 (+99.6%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 12.02 (+103.0%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 4.00 (-32.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 11.82 (+99.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 8.06 (+36.1%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 3.35–4.66
Base scenario / share EUR 4.00
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear EUR 3.35-76.7%
Base EUR 4.00-47.8%
Bull EUR 4.66-27.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 70 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 9%0 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
MANTA.HE (this company) EUR 5.92 -109.2% 23.1 2.8 11.1% 70
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.6 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.3% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.0 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 0.85 per share · yield 14.36% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.850
20250.660
20240.330
Sector Financials
Exchange Nasdaq Helsinki
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 15:03

RevenueEUR 1,809,300,000
EBITDAEUR 164,499,999
EBITEUR 160,099,999
Net incomeEUR 129,200,000
Free cash flowEUR 422,300,000
Capital expendituresEUR 3,400,000
DebtEUR 404,500,000
CashEUR 445,400,000
Working capitalEUR
Shares outstanding503,211,761