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DKNG

DraftKings Inc.

DraftKings Inc. operates as a digital sports entertainment and gaming company in the United States and internationally. The company offers online and retail sports betting, daily fantasy sports, digital lottery couriers, prediction markets, and other products, as well as retails sportsbooks. It als… DraftKings Inc. operates as a digital sports entertainment and gaming company in the United States and internationally. The company offers online and retail sports betting, daily fantasy sports, digital lottery couriers, prediction markets, and other products, as well as retails sportsbooks. It also provides iGaming, or online casino products, which includes blackjack, roulette, baccarat and slot machines. In addition, the company engages in the design and development of sports betting and casino gaming software for online and retail sportsbooks, and iGaming operators. DraftKings Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Market price
USD 23.52
Within modeled range
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 21.9% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 12 min ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 23.52
Fair value range17.67–49.71base 28.68
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly.

Why: Latest free cash flow is depressed by heavy investment or one-off items, so a three-year average is used instead.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 18.54% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 18.54%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 18.5% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 39.3%, analyst revenue consensus 13.8%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 13.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 18.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Latest free cash flow is depressed by heavy investment or one-off items, so a three-year average is used instead.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Normalised free-cash-flow DCF — USD 15.41 (-34.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: net income is zero or negative.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 29.05 (+23.5%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Normalised free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 14.74 (-37.3%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 2.07 (-91.2%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 28.68 (+21.9%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 51.22 (+117.8%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 17.67–49.71
Base scenario / share USD 28.68
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear USD 17.67-33.1%
Base USD 28.6818.0%
Bull USD 49.7152.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 month price change: +22.82% · USD 23.52 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 28.68). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (15 minutes ago).

07 Oct 2026Range USD 18.90 – 23.5205 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 36 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability1 of 5 years profitable4 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 3 of 5 years12 / 20
Growthrevenue +29.1% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 5.7x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 3%0 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
DKNG (this company) USD 23.52 -52.7% – 20.5 – 36
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.75 44.8% 27.2 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.90 43.9% 13.9 0.8 3.1% 70
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 41.7% 17.1 21.8 0.7% 100
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.39 37.5% 8.9 1.9 4.2% 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 36.7% 12.5 5.1 – 100
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.72 36.1% 109.4 2.6 – 80
CVNA Carvana USD 72.08 34.5% 9.5 3.7 – 87
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 15.5 2.6
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 18:17

RevenueUSD 6,222,523,000
EBITDAUSD 163,343,000
EBITUSD -128,733,000
Net incomeUSD -166,902,000
Free cash flowUSD 615,764,000
Capital expendituresUSD 20,060,000
DebtUSD 1,916,009,000
CashUSD 983,882,000
Working capitalUSD 26,335,000
Shares outstanding496,089,000