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HM-B.ST

H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB

H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) provides clothing, accessories, footwear, cosmetics, home textiles, and homeware for women, men, and children worldwide. It offers sportswear, shoes, bags, accessories, ready-to-wear, activewear, and jeans; interior products, including bed linens, towels and tablecl… H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) provides clothing, accessories, footwear, cosmetics, home textiles, and homeware for women, men, and children worldwide. It offers sportswear, shoes, bags, accessories, ready-to-wear, activewear, and jeans; interior products, including bed linens, towels and tablecloths, tableware, furniture, and lighting; and beauty products, such as make-up and fragrance collections. The company provides its products under the H&M, H&M HOME, H&M Move, H&M Beauty, COS, Cheap Monday, Weekday, Monki, & Other Stories, ARKET, and Singular Society brand names. In addition, it operates Sellpy, a broad digital platform for second-hand fashion and other products; Smartex.ai, a platform that detects faults in real time and helps in textile production; Syre, a platform which focuses on scaling textile-to-textile recycling primarily polyester; and A Retro Tale offers selected vintage and secondhand accessories, as well as provides collecting and sorting solutions to extend the useful life of no longer used garments through reuse and recycling under Looper Textile name. Further, the company operates seasonal vegetarian cafés and coffee shops. It offers its products through online and physical stores. H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Market price
SEK 176.90
Undervalued by 50.1%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 50.1% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 31 Aug 2026, period ended 31 Aug 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 47 min ago). Next earnings: 28 Jan 2027 (in 83 days)
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceSEK 176.90
Fair value range215.78–315.34base 265.56
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 3% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 3.69% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.7% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 0.7%, analyst revenue consensus 3.4%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — SEK 190.68 (+7.8%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — SEK 109.15 (-38.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — SEK 190.68 (+7.8%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.1x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • FCFF (steady state) — SEK 190.68 (+7.8%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.1x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — SEK 265.56 (+50.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — SEK 190.68 (+7.8%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.1x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — SEK 547.69 (+209.6%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share SEK 215.78–315.34
Base scenario / share SEK 265.56
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear SEK 215.7818.0%
Base SEK 265.5633.4%
Bull SEK 315.3443.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 74 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -0.3% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.3x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 18%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
HM-B.ST (this company) SEK 176.90 7.2% 21.4 7.2 3.8% 74
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.70 45.5% 26.8 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.72 44.3% 13.8 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.33 38.1% 8.8 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.37 36.9% 108.0 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 85.74 36.4% 10.9 5.0 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 109.52 34.7% 8.7 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 268.04 30.8% 15.6 19.8 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 166.20 29.9% 17.4 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 14.7 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: SEK 7.10 per share · yield 4.01% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)7.100
20256.800
20246.500
20236.500
20226.500
20216.500
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange Nasdaq Stockholm
Currency SEK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 31 Aug 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 15:24

RevenueSEK 220,845,000,000
EBITDASEK 39,734,000,000
EBITSEK 20,355,000,000
Net incomeSEK 13,195,000,000
Free cash flowSEK 27,055,000,000
Capital expendituresSEK 7,875,000,000
DebtSEK 79,376,000,000
CashSEK 26,507,000,000
Working capitalSEK 9,632,000,000
Shares outstanding1,596,373,000