TRYG.CO

Tryg A/S

Tryg A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of insurance products and services to private, small and medium sized commercial, and corporate customers in Denmark, the United States, rest of Nordic, Luxembourg, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Privat… Tryg A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of insurance products and services to private, small and medium sized commercial, and corporate customers in Denmark, the United States, rest of Nordic, Luxembourg, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Private and Commercial segments. The company offers insurance products, such as motor, content, house, accident, travel, motorcycle, and pet and health, as well as property, liability, workers' compensation, and health under the Trygg-Hansa, Atlantica, Bilsport & MC, and Moderna Djurförsäkringar brands. It sells its products through its sales agents, online, call centers, franchises, bancassurance, car dealers, real estate agents, insurance brokers, and partners. The company was founded in 1731 and is headquartered in Ballerup, Denmark.
Market price
DKK 163.50
Within modeled range
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 11.5% below the market price
5-year outlook: 5.9% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 8 min ago). Next earnings: 22 Jan 2027 (in 77 days)
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceDKK 163.50
Fair value range119.83–169.70base 144.76
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook5.9% / yr≈ DKK 217.78 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 5.18% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 5.18%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.2% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 6.8%, analyst revenue consensus 4.2%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 5.9% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 4.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — DKK 89.05 (-45.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — DKK 112.61 (-31.1%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — DKK 177.73 (+8.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — DKK 157.41 (-3.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — DKK 144.76 (-11.5%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — DKK 177.00 (+8.3%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — DKK 322.24 (+97.1%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share DKK 119.83–169.70
Base scenario / share DKK 144.76
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear DKK 119.83-36.4%
Base DKK 144.76-12.9%
Bull DKK 169.703.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +7.2% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.4x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 17%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
TRYG.CO (this company) DKK 163.50 -83.6% 20.6 2.6 5.2% 90
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.88 68.1% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.89 45.5% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.88 36.0% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.29 33.8% 8.1 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.60 32.5% 8.2 1.5 5.0% 76
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 74.07 29.9% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.92 29.6% 8.3 1.3 4.9% 88
Peer median 7.6 1.4

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: DKK 8.50 per share · yield 5.20% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)8.500
20258.100
20247.700
20237.150
20227.310
20214.572
Sector Financials
Exchange Nasdaq Copenhagen
Currency DKK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:10

RevenueDKK 44,704,000,000
EBITDADKK 7,430,000,000
EBITDKK 6,219,000,000
Net incomeDKK 4,718,000,000
Free cash flowDKK 6,799,000,000
Capital expendituresDKK 2,733,000,000
DebtDKK 7,591,000,000
CashDKK 4,692,000,000
Working capitalDKK
Shares outstanding595,870,000
Reported dividends per shareDKK 8.4767