DFDS.CO

DFDS A/S

DFDS A/S provides freight and passenger transport services in Europe, Türkiye, North Africa, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ferry Division and Logistics Division. The company engages in the operation of network of ferry routes, including freight-only routes, combined freight and … DFDS A/S provides freight and passenger transport services in Europe, Türkiye, North Africa, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ferry Division and Logistics Division. The company engages in the operation of network of ferry routes, including freight-only routes, combined freight and passenger routes, and ferries; owns and operates port terminals and rails; offers freight services to forwarders, hauliers, and manufacturers of heavy goods; and provides passenger services, such as overnight and day crossings. It also offers transport solutions comprising full and part-load transport; contract logistics, which includes warehousing and transport of frozen meat and fish; customs; and control towers for manufacturers of industrial goods and consumables, as well as retailers. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Market price
DKK 153.20
Undervalued by 320.6%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 320.6% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 day ago). Next earnings: 11 Nov 2026 (in 5 days)
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceDKK 153.20
Fair value range493.74–794.91base 644.32
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 2.88% growth, 2.7% terminal growth and 10% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 2.88%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.9% (sector default 6.2%, analyst revenue consensus -0.5%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -0.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.9%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — DKK 290.93 (+89.9%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: net income is zero or negative.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — DKK 290.93 (+89.9%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — DKK 286.72 (+87.2%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — DKK 644.32 (+320.6%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — DKK 290.77 (+89.8%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — DKK 1580.22 (+931.5%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share DKK 493.74–794.91
Base scenario / share DKK 644.32
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear DKK 493.7469.0%
Base DKK 644.3276.2%
Bull DKK 794.9180.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 64 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability3 of 5 years profitable12 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +4.1% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 3.4x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 13%10 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
DFDS.CO (this company) DKK 153.20 47.3% – 0.6 – 64
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.84 74.5% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.60 64.8% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.31 59.5% 7.9 3.4 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.45 55.4% – 0.8 2.1% 46
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.79 45.8% 19.8 3.3 1.5% 82
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 110.60 42.8% 12.8 2.0 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 88.95 40.9% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
MPCC.OL MPC Container Ships ASA NOK 24.09 33.9% 5.4 1.1 0.7% 80
Peer median 7.9 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: DKK 0.00 per share.

YearDividends per share
20253.000
20243.000
20235.000
20228.000
Sector Industrials
Exchange Nasdaq Copenhagen
Currency DKK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 05 Nov 2026 16:05

RevenueDKK 31,536,000,000
EBITDADKK 4,100,000,000
EBITDKK 849,000,000
Net incomeDKK -21,000,000
Free cash flowDKK 2,113,000,000
Capital expendituresDKK 1,517,000,000
DebtDKK 16,009,000,000
CashDKK 1,896,000,000
Working capitalDKK -1,244,000,000
Shares outstanding54,455,445