TEL.OL

Telenor ASA

Telenor ASA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Nordics, Asia, Infrastructure, and Amp. The company offers mobile and broadband telecom products and services, including mobile, broadband and TV services; other servic… Telenor ASA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Nordics, Asia, Infrastructure, and Amp. The company offers mobile and broadband telecom products and services, including mobile, broadband and TV services; other services, including solutions for business customers like managed services, virtual private networks, software defined networks, and network as a service; IoT solutions; and mobile maritime communication for cruise and ferry, fisheries, and oil and gas industry. It also provides hardware comprising mobile phones, broadband modems, and TV boxes; wholesale services, such as national and international roaming and interconnect, and solutions for mobile and fixed virtual network operators and service providers, as well as leased lines and colocation at towers and data centres. In addition, the company provides cloud storage service for private use and businesses that allows to back up, store, synchronize, and share files over the Internet. Telenor ASA was founded in 1855 and is headquartered in Fornebu, Norway.
Market price
NOK 134.20
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 13.8% above the market price
5-year outlook: 9.5% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 3 min ago). Next earnings: 03 Feb 2027 (in 89 days)
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceNOK 134.20
Fair value range91.86–268.54base 152.72
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook9.5% / yr≈ NOK 211.15 in 5 yrs

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 2% growth, 2.9% terminal growth and 10.4% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 10.40%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 7.0%, own revenue history -0.1%, analyst revenue consensus -1.0%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.5% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -1.0% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — NOK 116.57 (-13.1%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — NOK 167.17 (+24.6%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — NOK 152.72 (+13.8%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — NOK 159.42 (+18.8%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — NOK 396.83 (+195.7%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — NOK 152.98 (+14.0%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — NOK 695.16 (+418.0%)
    Not used: Used only when cash-flow models land far below the price; here they do not.
Illustrative range / share NOK 91.86–268.54
Base scenario / share NOK 152.72
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear NOK 91.86-46.1%
Base NOK 152.7212.1%
Bull NOK 268.5450.0%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 84 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -1.9% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.6x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 66%20 / 20

Peers in Communication Services

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
TEL.OL (this company) NOK 134.20 -15.1% 9.7 2.6 7.2% 84
DTE.DE Deutsche Telekom AG EUR 25.87 49.7% 14.4 2.1 5.5% 82
PUB.PA Publicis Groupe S.A. EUR 102.60 42.0% 15.7 2.5 3.5% 90
VOD.L Vodafone Group Public Limited Company GBP 1.17 42.0% – 0.7 3.2% 66
CMCSA Comcast USD 24.95 39.1% 7.9 1.0 5.4% 82
TEF.MC Telefonica, S.A. EUR 3.36 33.8% – – 8.9% 59
INF.L Informa plc GBP 8.40 23.0% – 1.9 2.4% 66
SONY Sony Group Corporation USD 27.54 19.5% – – – 82
EMBRAC-B.ST Embracer Group AB SEK 95.44 18.5% – 1.0 – 56
Peer median 14.4 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: NOK 9.70 per share · yield 7.23% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)9.700
20259.600
20249.500
20239.400
20229.300
20219.000
Sector Communication Services
Exchange Euronext Oslo
Currency NOK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 14:27

RevenueNOK 71,149,000,000
EBITDANOK 46,993,000,000
EBITNOK 31,052,000,000
Net incomeNOK 18,662,000,000
Free cash flowNOK 17,646,000,000
Capital expendituresNOK 19,386,000,000
DebtNOK 63,129,000,000
CashNOK 37,133,000,000
Working capitalNOK 14,297,000,000
Shares outstanding1,355,546,173