AKRBP.OL

Aker BP ASA

Aker BP ASA engages in the exploration, field development, and production of oil and gas on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. It operates field centers, including Valhall, Ula, Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen, Alvheim, and Skarv. The company was formerly known as Det norske oljeselskap ASA and changed its n… Aker BP ASA engages in the exploration, field development, and production of oil and gas on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. It operates field centers, including Valhall, Ula, Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen, Alvheim, and Skarv. The company was formerly known as Det norske oljeselskap ASA and changed its name to Aker BP ASA in October 2016. Aker BP ASA was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Lysaker, Norway.
Market price
NOK 316.80
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 8.8% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 h ago). Last earnings: 28 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceNOK 316.80
Fair value range143.66–587.75base 289.06
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 2.9% growth, 2.5% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2.90%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.50% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.9% (sector default 4.6%, own revenue history 18.0%, analyst revenue consensus -5.5%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -5.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.9%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — NOK 104.95 (-66.9%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — NOK 483.48 (+52.6%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — NOK 289.06 (-8.8%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — NOK 282.59 (-10.8%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — NOK 1920.72 (+506.3%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — NOK 288.83 (-8.8%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — NOK 2800.60 (+784.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share NOK 143.66–587.75
Base scenario / share NOK 289.06
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear NOK 143.66-120.5%
Base NOK 289.06-9.6%
Bull NOK 587.7546.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 year price change: +34.78% · NOK 319.30 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (NOK 289.06). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (36 minutes ago).

06 Nov 2025Range NOK 224.31 – 386.7205 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 88 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue +0.4% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.5x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 87%20 / 20

Peers in Energy

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AKRBP.OL (this company) NOK 316.80 -201.9% 10.0 1.7 0.8% 88
HBR.L Harbour Energy plc GBP 2.63 61.8% – 1.4 7.9% 92
FANG Diamondback Energy USD 179.58 36.7% 24.4 1.3 2.4% 100
SHEL.L Shell plc GBP 37.23 32.4% 8.6 1.4 3.0% 84
AKSO.OL Aker Solutions ASA NOK 36.00 22.7% 6.8 1.5 9.1% 75
BP.L BP p.l.c. GBP 5.59 18.4% – – 4.4% 69
BWLPG.OL BW LPG Limited NOK 203.60 9.4% 7.4 1.7 1.3% 100
EOG EOG Resources USD 144.89 6.1% 11.1 2.4 2.8% 92
TTE.PA TotalEnergies SE EUR 79.65 4.9% 9.0 1.5 4.3% 84
Peer median 8.8 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: NOK 24.99 per share · yield 7.89% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)24.995
202526.275
202425.978
202323.253
202219.778
202111.502
Sector Energy
Exchange Euronext Oslo
Currency NOK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:43

RevenueNOK 121,621,373,147
EBITDANOK 105,745,073,851
EBITNOK 84,828,858,775
Net incomeNOK 19,947,941,488
Free cash flowNOK 15,357,816,549
Capital expendituresNOK 71,305,022,035
DebtNOK 78,274,898,095
CashNOK 21,691,586,734
Working capitalNOK 7,725,487,033
Shares outstanding631,200,000
Reported dividends per shareNOK 2.6150