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TSCO.L

Tesco PLC

Tesco PLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a grocery retailer in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary. The company offers grocery products through its stores, as well as online. It is also involved in the food and drink wholesaling activitie… Tesco PLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a grocery retailer in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary. The company offers grocery products through its stores, as well as online. It is also involved in the food and drink wholesaling activities. In addition, the company provides mobile virtual network operating services, as well as insurance products, such as for home, travel, pet, and car insurance products. Further, the company operates a network of convenience stores; and offers AI-enabled science, software, and trusted advice; and consultancy services. Tesco PLC was founded in 1919 and is based in Welwyn Garden City, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 5.47
Within modeled range
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 13.6% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:42; FY2026, period ended 28 Feb 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 32 min ago). Last earnings: 08 Oct 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceGBP 5.47
Fair value range3.23–7.47base 4.73
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 3.84% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.84%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.8% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history 4.7%, analyst revenue consensus 2.7%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.8%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — GBP 5.13 (-6.1%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 4.07 (-25.5%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 5.13 (-6.1%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 4.73 (-13.6%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 7.45 (+36.2%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 5.12 (-6.4%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 22.09 (+303.8%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 3.23–7.47
Base scenario / share GBP 4.73
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear GBP 3.23-69.4%
Base GBP 4.73-15.7%
Bull GBP 7.4726.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 62 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +4.7% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.2x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 7%0 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
TSCO.L (this company) GBP 5.47 -6.5% 20.2 3.2 2.6% 62
ORK.OL Orkla ASA NOK 102.30 32.1% 14.5 2.3 9.8% 82
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 24.46 27.8% – 0.8 6.5% 36
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.72 26.2% 39.8 9.1 1.2% 72
CA.PA Carrefour SA EUR 13.49 24.7% 28.9 0.8 8.8% 72
ABF.L Associated British Foods plc GBP 19.60 20.0% 14.9 1.2 3.2% 82
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.55 16.7% 13.8 1.4 3.0% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 283.20 8.1% 24.9 8.2 3.1% 70
DLTR Dollar Tree USD 135.65 1.9% 16.1 7.6 – 72
Peer median 16.1 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.00 per share · yield 0.03% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.001
20250.001
20240.001
20230.001
20220.001
20210.007
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 28 Feb 2026

RevenueGBP 73,712,000,000
EBITDAGBP 5,011,000,000
EBITGBP 3,116,000,000
Net incomeGBP 1,787,000,000
Free cash flowGBP 2,799,000,000
Capital expendituresGBP 1,344,000,000
DebtGBP 15,080,000,000
CashGBP 4,164,000,000
Working capitalGBP -5,846,000,000
Shares outstanding6,606,000,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.1418