CCH.L

Coca-Cola HBC AG

Coca-Cola HBC AG engages in the production, sale, and distribution of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under franchise in Switzerland, West Coast of Ireland, Central and Eastern Europe, Nigeria, and internationally. It offers sparkling soft drinks, adult sparkling, hydration drinks, juices, r… Coca-Cola HBC AG engages in the production, sale, and distribution of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under franchise in Switzerland, West Coast of Ireland, Central and Eastern Europe, Nigeria, and internationally. It offers sparkling soft drinks, adult sparkling, hydration drinks, juices, ready-to-drink tea and coffee, sports and energy drinks, plant-based drinks, hard seltzers, premium spirit, dairy, and snacks; and distributes third-party products. The company markets and sells its products under several brands, including Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Adez, Averna, Amita, Aquarius, Aperol, Avra, Deep RiverRock, Fruice, Kinley, Schweppes, and various other brands. It serves various consumer channels, such as supermarkets, convenience stores, vending machines, hotels, cafés, and restaurants, as well as e-commerce channels. Coca-Cola HBC AG was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland.
Market price
GBP 41.88
Within modeled range
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 3.4% below the market price
5-year outlook: 14.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 20 min ago).
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceGBP 41.88
Fair value range24.07–74.08base 40.46
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook14.6% / yr≈ GBP 82.77 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 15.52% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 15.52%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 15.5% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history 12.3%, analyst revenue consensus 22.2%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 14.6% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 22.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 15.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — GBP 40.90 (-2.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 31.98 (-23.6%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 40.90 (-2.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 22.65 (-45.9%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 44.23 (+5.6%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 40.46 (-3.4%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 156.86 (+274.5%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 24.07–74.08
Base scenario / share GBP 40.46
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear GBP 24.07-74.0%
Base GBP 40.46-3.5%
Bull GBP 74.0843.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

5 years price change: +88.80% · GBP 41.88 · Market data through 06 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (GBP 40.46). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 06 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (13 minutes ago).

08 Nov 2021Range GBP 13.59 – 51.7006 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +12.3% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.7x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 15%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
CCH.L (this company) GBP 41.88 -2.4% 19.7 4.7 2.0% 90
ORK.OL Orkla ASA NOK 102.60 31.9% 14.6 2.3 9.7% 82
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 24.82 26.7% – 0.8 6.4% 36
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.59 26.3% 39.7 9.1 1.2% 72
CA.PA Carrefour SA EUR 13.64 23.8% 29.2 0.8 8.7% 72
ABF.L Associated British Foods plc GBP 19.90 18.8% 15.1 1.2 3.2% 82
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.89 16.3% 13.8 1.4 2.9% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 283.80 7.9% 25.0 8.2 3.1% 70
DLTR Dollar Tree USD 133.99 3.1% 15.9 7.5 – 72
Peer median 15.9 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.01 per share · yield 0.02% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.010
20250.009
20240.008
20230.007
20220.006
20210.005
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueGBP 9,514,023,436
EBITDAGBP 1,420,319,203
EBITGBP 1,065,977,274
Net incomeGBP 770,992,945
Free cash flowGBP 611,612,867
Capital expendituresGBP 617,023,912
DebtGBP 3,267,086,677
CashGBP 2,281,815,807
Working capitalGBP 666,672,079
Shares outstanding363,081,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.8454