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CA.PA

Carrefour SA

About the company

Carrefour SA operates as a food retailer in France, Spain, Belgium, Poland, Romania, Brazil, Argentina, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, club stores, and cash and carry stores; soft discount stores; and e-commerce sites. It is also involved in the provision of financial services; banking and insurance services; property development; travel ticketing and leisure; agency; shopping mall rental; and franchise activities. Carrefour SA was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Massy, France.

Market price
EUR 13.64
Price above modeled range
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 48.4% below the market price
Relative 5-year outlook: 11.0% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 20:27; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 18 min ago).
Model comparison

Price above modeled range

PriceEUR 13.64
Modeled value rangeEUR 5.38–8.25base 7.03
Estimate reliabilityMedium
Relative 5-year outlook11.0% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price above modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 3.64% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.64%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.6% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history 4.0%, analyst revenue consensus 2.6%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 11.0% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.6% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.6%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — EUR 17.90 (+31.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 7.03 (-48.4%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 33.78 (+147.6%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 6.4x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 31.33 (+129.7%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 6.4x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 68.66 (+403.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 33.69 (+147.0%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 6.4x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 212.96 (+1461.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 5.38–8.25
Base scenario / share EUR 7.03
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear EUR 5.38-153.4%
Base EUR 7.03-93.9%
Bull EUR 8.25-65.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 year price change: +12.53% · EUR 13.64 · Market data through 06 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (EUR 7.03). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 06 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (2 hours, 47 minutes ago).

06 Nov 2025Range EUR 11.96 – 16.8106 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 72 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +4.0% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.0x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 6%0 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
CA.PA (this company) EUR 13.64 23.8% 29.2 0.8 8.7% 72
ORK.OL Orkla ASA NOK 102.60 31.9% 14.6 2.3 9.7% 82
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.72 26.2% 39.8 9.1 1.2% 72
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 25.32 25.2% – 0.8 6.3% 36
ABF.L Associated British Foods plc GBP 19.90 18.8% 15.1 1.2 3.2% 82
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.47 16.8% 13.7 1.4 3.0% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 283.80 7.9% 25.0 8.2 3.1% 70
DLTR Dollar Tree USD 137.94 0.3% 16.3 7.7 – 72
CCH.L Coca-Cola HBC AG GBP 41.88 -2.4% 19.7 4.7 2.0% 90
Peer median 16.3 3.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 1.18 per share · yield 8.65% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.180
20251.150
20240.870
20230.560
20220.520
20210.480
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange Euronext Paris
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 84,024,000,000
EBITDAEUR 4,672,000,000
EBITEUR 2,323,000,000
Net incomeEUR 319,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 2,030,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 1,523,000,000
DebtEUR 15,592,000,000
CashEUR 6,420,000,000
Working capitalEUR -3,321,000,000
Shares outstanding682,937,000
Reported dividends per shareEUR 1.1890