MT.AS

ArcelorMittal S.A.

ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and el… ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and electro-galvanized coils and sheets, tinplate, and color coated coils and sheets; semi-finished long products, such as blooms and billets; finished long products consisting of bars, wire-rods, structural sections, rails, sheet piles, and wire-products; and seamless and welded pipes and tubes. The company also provides mining products, such as iron ore lumps, fines, concentrate, pellets, and sinter feeds; and coking coal. It sells its products to various customers in the automotive, appliance, engineering, construction, energy, and machinery industries through a centralized marketing organization, and distributors. The company operates iron ore mining activities in Brazil, Bosnia, Liberia, Mexico, South Africa, and Ukraine, as well as in India and in Canada. ArcelorMittal S.A. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Market price
EUR 54.26
Undervalued by 70.0%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 70.0% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 4 h ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 54.26
Fair value range75.01–109.48base 92.25
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Normalised free-cash-flow DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is far below earnings (heavy investment), and even a three-year average understates value, so an EV/EBITDA multiple, which is not distorted by capex timing, fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 2.6% terminal growth and 9.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 4.03% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 9.80%, terminal growth 2.60%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.0% (sector default 5.8%, own revenue history -8.4%, analyst revenue consensus 9.4%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 9.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

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Why this model: Free cash flow is far below earnings (heavy investment), and even a three-year average understates value, so an EV/EBITDA multiple, which is not distorted by capex timing, fits best.

Compare models
Illustrative range / share EUR 75.01–109.48
Base scenario / share EUR 92.25
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 75.0127.7%
Base EUR 92.2541.2%
Bull EUR 109.4850.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 70 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue -5.8% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.3x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 12%10 / 20

Peers in Materials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
MT.AS (this company) EUR 54.26 41.2% 25.6 0.8 1.1% 70
CF CF Industries USD 117.79 -2.3% 8.2 2.0 2.2% 84
HOLN.SW Holcim AG CHF 72.98 -7.2% 3.1 – 4.2% 74
UPM.HE UPM-Kymmene Oyj EUR 22.37 -10.4% 17.1 1.2 6.7% 70
AMCR Amcor USD 44.22 -16.6% 18.9 0.6 6.0% 90
YAR.OL Yara International ASA NOK 396.60 -16.6% 7.6 1.2 1.2% 74
MOS Mosaic Company (The) USD 21.96 -33.2% 13.0 – 4.0% 79
VSVS.L Vesuvius plc GBP 4.49 -36.1% 21.5 1.0 5.2% 68
SSAB-A.ST SSAB AB SEK 90.56 -56.7% 15.9 1.2 2.9% 62
Peer median 14.4 1.2

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 0.62 per share · yield 1.15% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.384
20250.483
20240.465
20230.407
20220.360
20210.209
Sector Materials
Exchange Euronext Amsterdam
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:29

RevenueEUR 56,222,032,671
EBITDAEUR 6,582,835,834
EBITEUR 3,125,732,460
Net incomeEUR 1,621,015,231
Free cash flowEUR -1,244,624,846
Capital expendituresEUR 5,597,664,379
DebtEUR 12,898,431,611
CashEUR 4,380,869,702
Working capitalEUR 8,583,748,891
Shares outstanding764,000,000
Reported dividends per shareEUR 0.6084