MT.AS

ArcelorMittal S.A.

ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and el… ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and electro-galvanized coils and sheets, tinplate, and color coated coils and sheets; semi-finished long products, such as blooms and billets; finished long products consisting of bars, wire-rods, structural sections, rails, sheet piles, and wire-products; and seamless and welded pipes and tubes. The company also provides mining products, such as iron ore lumps, fines, concentrate, pellets, and sinter feeds; and coking coal. It sells its products to various customers in the automotive, appliance, engineering, construction, energy, and machinery industries through a centralized marketing organization, and distributors. The company operates iron ore mining activities in Brazil, Bosnia, Liberia, Mexico, South Africa, and Ukraine, as well as in India and in Canada. ArcelorMittal S.A. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Market price
EUR 54.82
Overvalued by 44.8%
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 44.8% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 19:01; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 h ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceEUR 54.82
Fair value range23.43–35.11base 30.23
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Normalised free-cash-flow DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is far below earnings (heavy investment), and even a three-year average understates value, so an EV/EBITDA multiple, which is not distorted by capex timing, fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price above modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 2.6% terminal growth and 9.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 4.03% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 9.80%, terminal growth 2.60%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.0% (sector default 5.8%, own revenue history -8.4%, analyst revenue consensus 9.4%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 9.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

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Why this model: Free cash flow is far below earnings (heavy investment), and even a three-year average understates value, so an EV/EBITDA multiple, which is not distorted by capex timing, fits best.

Compare models
Illustrative range / share EUR 23.43–35.11
Base scenario / share EUR 30.23
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear EUR 23.43-134.0%
Base EUR 30.23-81.3%
Bull EUR 35.11-56.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

3 months price change: -14.64% · EUR 54.82 · Market data through 06 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (EUR 30.23). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 06 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (28 minutes ago).

10 Aug 2026Range EUR 52.82 – 67.5406 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 70 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue -5.8% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.3x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 12%10 / 20

Peers in Materials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
MT.AS (this company) EUR 54.82 40.6% 25.8 0.9 1.1% 70
CF CF Industries USD 118.57 1.9% 13.2 4.0 1.7% 92
AMCR Amcor USD 45.84 -3.4% 19.5 1.8 6.8% 90
HOLN.SW Holcim AG CHF 73.84 -8.5% 3.1 – 4.2% 74
UPM.HE UPM-Kymmene Oyj EUR 22.68 -12.0% 17.4 1.2 6.6% 70
YAR.OL Yara International ASA NOK 401.00 -17.7% 7.7 1.2 1.2% 74
MOS Mosaic Company (The) USD 22.33 -22.8% 13.2 0.6 3.9% 70
VSVS.L Vesuvius plc GBP 4.52 -37.0% 21.7 1.0 5.1% 68
SSAB-A.ST SSAB AB SEK 90.72 -57.0% 15.9 1.2 2.9% 62
Peer median 14.6 1.2

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 0.62 per share · yield 1.13% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.384
20250.483
20240.465
20230.407
20220.360
20210.209
Sector Materials
Exchange Euronext Amsterdam
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:29

RevenueEUR 56,222,032,671
EBITDAEUR 6,582,835,834
EBITEUR 3,125,732,460
Net incomeEUR 1,621,015,231
Free cash flowEUR -1,244,624,846
Capital expendituresEUR 5,597,664,379
DebtEUR 12,898,431,611
CashEUR 4,380,869,702
Working capitalEUR 8,583,748,891
Shares outstanding764,000,000
Reported dividends per shareEUR 0.6084