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ZURN.SW

Zurich Insurance Group AG

Zurich Insurance Group AG provides insurance products and related services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Property & Casualty Regions, Life Regions, and Farmers segments. The company offers car and motor, home, travel, gen… Zurich Insurance Group AG provides insurance products and related services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Property & Casualty Regions, Life Regions, and Farmers segments. The company offers car and motor, home, travel, general liability, life and critical illness, and other insurance products; and saving and investment, and pension and retirement planning products. It also provides property, casualty, energy and engineering lines, and marine; management liability, financial institutions, and professional indemnity; and cyber, accident and health, and credit lines and surety insurance products, as well as non-claims and ancillary services to the farmers exchanges. In addition, it offers employee benefit insurance products; and climate resilience, risk engineering, captive, cyber resilience, and reinsurance services. It serves individuals, small businesses, mid-sized and large companies, and multinational corporations. The company sells its products through agents, brokers, and bank distribution channels. Zurich Insurance Group AG was founded in 1872 and is based in Zurich, Switzerland.
Market price
CHF 626.20
Undervalued by 26.8%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 26.8% above the market price
5-year outlook: 11.5% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:42; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from Yahoo Finance (downloaded 2 days ago).
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceCHF 626.20
Fair value range663.83–924.05base 793.94
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook11.5% / yr≈ CHF 1078.22 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 12.91% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 12.91%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 12.9% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 25.6%, analyst revenue consensus 10.3%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 11.5% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 10.3% a year; the growth assumption used is 12.9%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — CHF 398.22 (-36.4%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — CHF 553.78 (-11.6%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — CHF 695.85 (+11.1%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — CHF 455.03 (-27.3%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — CHF 793.94 (+26.8%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — CHF 688.77 (+10.0%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — CHF 2625.74 (+319.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share CHF 663.83–924.05
Base scenario / share CHF 793.94
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear CHF 663.835.7%
Base CHF 793.9421.1%
Bull CHF 924.0532.2%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +33.0% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.7x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 9%0 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ZURN.SW (this company) CHF 626.20 -57.2% 16.1 – 4.5% 90
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.6 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: CHF 30.00 per share · yield 4.79% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)30.000
202528.000
202426.000
202324.000
202222.000
202120.000
Sector Financials
Exchange SIX Swiss Exchange
Currency CHF

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueCHF 73,143,878,198
EBITDACHF 9,369,213,585
EBITCHF 8,661,449,431
Net incomeCHF 5,607,669,832
Free cash flowCHF 4,473,432,406
Capital expendituresCHF -395,951,974
DebtCHF 12,935,256,051
CashCHF 14,845,724,325
Working capitalCHF
Shares outstanding144,017,586
Reported dividends per shareCHF 28.0000