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TEF.MC

Telefonica, S.A.

Telefónica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Spain, Brazil, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers digital services for residential customers, such as entertainment, home connectivity and security; and advanced solutions for businesses and p… Telefónica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Spain, Brazil, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers digital services for residential customers, such as entertainment, home connectivity and security; and advanced solutions for businesses and public administrations, including cloud, cybersecurity, IoT, artificial intelligence, and professional services. It also provides wholesale services to other operators; fixed and wireless telephony services. It is also involved in the wholesale commercialization of a fiber-to-the-home network; and manages borrowing activities. In addition, the company offers ecosystem services, such as devices, health, insurance, video content, solar energy, alarm systems, advertising, financial services and education, etc.; traffic, connection fees, regular network usage fees, interconnection, network and equipment leasing, and handset sales; and other digital services comprising Pay TV and value-added services. Telefónica, S.A. was incorporated in 1924 and is based in Madrid, Spain.
Market price
EUR 3.34
Within modeled range
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 64.8% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from Yahoo Finance (downloaded 2 days ago). Next earnings: 12 Nov 2026 (in 6 days)
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceEUR 3.34
Fair value range3.03–9.77base 5.50
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 2% growth, 2.9% terminal growth and 10.4% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 10.40%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 7.0%, own revenue history -4.2%, analyst revenue consensus 2.1%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — EUR 5.08 (+52.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: net income is zero or negative.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 5.08 (+52.0%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 5.50 (+64.8%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 12.03 (+260.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 5.09 (+52.5%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 26.41 (+690.8%)
    Not used: Used only when cash-flow models land far below the price; here they do not.
Illustrative range / share EUR 3.03–9.77
Base scenario / share EUR 5.50
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear EUR 3.03-10.2%
Base EUR 5.5039.3%
Bull EUR 9.7765.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 48 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability1 of 5 years profitable4 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -3.3% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 4.9x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 25%20 / 20

Peers in Communication Services

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
TEF.MC (this company) EUR 3.34 34.2% – – 9.0% 59
VOD.L Vodafone Group Public Limited Company GBP 1.14 43.5% – 0.6 3.3% 66
PUB.PA Publicis Groupe S.A. EUR 102.40 42.1% 15.7 2.5 3.5% 90
CMCSA Comcast USD 24.23 40.8% 7.6 0.9 5.6% 82
INF.L Informa plc GBP 8.40 23.0% – 1.9 2.4% 66
SONY Sony Group Corporation USD 26.66 22.1% – – – 82
EMBRAC-B.ST Embracer Group AB SEK 95.20 18.7% – 1.0 – 56
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) USD 286.13 10.4% 15.0 5.2 0.3% 100
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) USD 287.27 10.0% 15.1 5.2 0.3% 100
Peer median 15.0 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 0.30 per share · yield 8.98% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.150
20250.300
20240.300
20230.300
20220.298
20210.346
Sector Communication Services
Exchange BME Spanish Exchanges
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 35,120,000,000
EBITDAEUR 8,408,000,000
EBITEUR 1,044,000,000
Net incomeEUR -4,318,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 4,667,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR -5,055,000,000
DebtEUR 39,653,000,000
CashEUR 6,726,000,000
Working capitalEUR -2,832,000,000
Shares outstanding5,652,115,000
Reported dividends per shareEUR 0.3000