ELE.MC

Endesa, S.A.

Endesa, S.A. engages in the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity in Spain, Portugal, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Singapore, Italy, Morocco, and internationally. It generates electricity from various energy sources, such as hydroelectri… Endesa, S.A. engages in the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity in Spain, Portugal, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Singapore, Italy, Morocco, and internationally. It generates electricity from various energy sources, such as hydroelectric, nuclear, thermal, wind, and solar. The company also offers advisory services and technology relating to energy, distributed generation, and energy demand management; deploys infrastructures for charging electric vehicles, vehicle-to-grid, and second-life services for batteries; develops integrated services for local administrations, such as public lighting, smart city development, energy services, and solutions for connectivity; and provides financial solutions for energy producers, as well as offers engineering and construction services for facilities related to the electricity business. As of December 31, 2025, it had an installed capacity of 22, 616 MW; operated 321,843 km of distribution networks and transmission grids; and distributed electricity to 9,590 thousand customers and gas to 1,699 thousand customers. The company was formerly known as Empresa Nacional de Electricidad, S.A. and changed its name to Endesa, S.A. in June 1997. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. Endesa, S.A. is a subsidiary of Enel Iberia Srl.
Market price
EUR 43.97
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 53.5% below the market price
5-year outlook: 4.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 3 h ago). Last earnings: 27 Oct 2026
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceEUR 43.97
Fair value range8.59–45.60base 20.47
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook4.8% / yr≈ EUR 55.60 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 2% growth, 2.2% terminal growth and 8.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 8.60%, terminal growth 2.20% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 4.0%, own revenue history -10.0%, analyst revenue consensus 1.4%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 4.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 1.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — EUR 20.47 (-53.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 36.54 (-16.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 20.47 (-53.5%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 20.73 (-52.8%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 66.60 (+51.5%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 20.48 (-53.4%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 126.24 (+187.1%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 8.59–45.60
Base scenario / share EUR 20.47
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear EUR 8.59-411.8%
Base EUR 20.47-114.8%
Bull EUR 45.603.6%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue -8.9% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.5x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 29%20 / 20

Peers in Utilities

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ELE.MC (this company) EUR 43.97 -114.8% 18.6 5.8 3.6% 80
ED Consolidated Edison USD 119.93 30.7% 20.0 1.7 2.7% 78
ENGI.PA Engie SA EUR 23.81 16.6% 15.8 1.8 7.5% 76
D Dominion Energy USD 68.26 -3.4% 22.2 2.0 3.9% 76
FORTUM.HE Fortum Oyj EUR 23.13 -3.5% 25.7 2.6 6.1% 72
CMS CMS Energy USD 68.66 -3.5% 24.7 2.2 3.3% 64
CNA.L Centrica plc GBP 1.50 -5.9% – 2.3 3.3% 92
EIX Edison International USD 59.61 -8.9% 6.3 1.3 5.7% 52
NTGY.MC Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. EUR 29.30 -9.7% 14.0 3.0 5.9% 70
Peer median 20.0 2.1

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 1.58 per share · yield 3.60% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.584
20251.318
20240.500
20232.085
20220.937
20211.814
Sector Utilities
Exchange BME Spanish Exchanges
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 14:12

RevenueEUR 22,456,000,000
EBITDAEUR 6,599,000,000
EBITEUR 4,283,000,000
Net incomeEUR 2,449,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 1,984,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 2,097,000,000
DebtEUR 11,905,000,000
CashEUR 1,696,000,000
Working capitalEUR -2,930,000,000
Shares outstanding1,035,714,286
Reported dividends per shareEUR 1.5728