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PST.MI

Poste Italiane S.p.A.

Financials company listed on Borsa Italiana. Business description not available yet.

Market price
EUR 24.05
Undervalued by 64.6%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 64.6% above the market price
5-year outlook: 8.9% per year · forecast
Data: Price update date unknown; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from Yahoo Finance (downloaded 2 days ago).
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 24.05
Fair value range35.82–46.26base 39.59
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook8.9% / yr≈ EUR 36.91 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 5.18% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 5.18%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.2% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 8.4%, analyst revenue consensus 3.5%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 8.9% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — EUR 16.36 (-32.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 24.32 (+1.1%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 41.69 (+73.3%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 39.59 (+64.6%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 62.59 (+160.3%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 41.61 (+73.0%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 107.70 (+347.8%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 35.82–46.26
Base scenario / share EUR 39.59
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 35.8232.9%
Base EUR 39.5939.3%
Bull EUR 46.2648.0%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 86 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue +10.7% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 17%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
PST.MI (this company) EUR 24.05 -35.3% 13.0 – 5.2% 86
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.3% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.0 1.5
Sector Financials
Exchange Borsa Italiana
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueEUR 23,257,000,000
EBITDAEUR 4,289,000,000
EBITEUR 3,303,000,000
Net incomeEUR 2,214,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 1,525,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR -1,178,000,000
DebtEUR 10,529,000,000
CashEUR 40,099,000,000
Working capitalEUR -48,856,000,000
Shares outstanding1,294,736,842
Reported dividends per shareEUR 1.1500