AGS.BR

ageas SA/NV

ageas SA/NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in insurance business. It operates through five segments: Belgium, Europe, Asia, Reinsurance, and General Account. The company provides property, casualty, and life insurance products, as well as pension products; and reinsurance products. It off… ageas SA/NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in insurance business. It operates through five segments: Belgium, Europe, Asia, Reinsurance, and General Account. The company provides property, casualty, and life insurance products, as well as pension products; and reinsurance products. It offers life insurance products include risks related to the life, and death of individuals; and non-life insurance products comprise accident and health, motor, and fire insurance products, as well as insurance services for other damages to property; and pension funds. The company serves private individuals, as well as small, medium-sized, and large companies through independent brokers and the bank channels. ageas SA/NV was founded in 1824 and is based in Brussels, Belgium.
Market price
EUR 76.95
Undervalued by 567.4%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 567.4% above the market price · low confidence
5-year outlook: 16.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 22 h ago).
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 76.95
Fair value range462.08–604.71base 513.59
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook16.6% / yr≈ EUR 166.16 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 8.36% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.6% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 8.36%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 8.4% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 22.7%, analyst revenue consensus 2.7%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 16.6% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 8.4%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — EUR 114.93 (+49.4%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 135.34 (+75.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 578.71 (+652.1%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 513.59 (+567.4%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 311.42 (+304.7%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 576.50 (+649.2%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 419.32 (+444.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 462.08–604.71
Base scenario / share EUR 513.59
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 462.0883.3%
Base EUR 513.5985.0%
Bull EUR 604.7187.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 76 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue +21.5% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 4%0 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AGS.BR (this company) EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.6 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 73.92 30.0% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
Peer median 7.6 1.4

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 3.75 per share · yield 4.87% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)2.250
20253.500
20243.250
20233.000
20224.250
20212.650
Sector Financials
Exchange Euronext Brussels
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 05 Nov 2026 17:51

RevenueEUR 10,650,000,000
EBITDAEUR 440,000,000
EBITEUR 0
Net incomeEUR 1,881,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 3,181,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 266,000,000
DebtEUR 5,953,000,000
CashEUR 62,230,000,000
Working capitalEUR
Shares outstanding197,663,551
Reported dividends per shareEUR 3.8601