RCI-B.TO

Rogers Communications Inc.

Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates through Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company offers mobile internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device financing, device protection, global voice and data roa… Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates through Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company offers mobile internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device financing, device protection, global voice and data roaming, wireless home phone, bridging landline, machine-to-machine and Internet of Things solutions, and advanced wireless solutions for businesses, as well as device shipping and pickup services; satellite-to-mobile service; and wireless solutions under the Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands. It also provides Internet access, Internet protocol-based (IP) television, applications, online viewing, phone, home monitoring, and advanced home WiFi services to consumer and businesses. In addition, the company offers local and network TV; on-demand television; cloud-based digital video recorders; voice-activated remote controls, restart, and integrated apps; linear and time-shifted programming; digital specialty channels; and 4K television programming. Further, it provides residential and small business local telephony services; voicemail, call waiting, and long distance; video and audio programming; voice, data networking, IP, and Ethernet services; private networking, Internet, IP voice, and cloud solutions; optical wave and multi-protocol label switching services; information technology and network technologies; cable access network services; telecommunications technical consulting services; and season games through television, smartphones, tablets, personal computers, and other streaming devices. Additionally, the company owns Toronto Blue Jays and the Rogers Centre event venue; and operates Sportsnet ONE, Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet World, Citytv, OMNI, FX (Canada), FXX (Canada), and HGTV television networks, as well as AM and FM radio stations. It also offers Rogers and the Rogers Red World Elite Mastercard. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Market price
CAD 47.11
Overvalued by 34.8%
Base value (Dividend discount model) is 34.8% below the market price
5-year outlook: 9.1% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 h ago). Next earnings: 28 Jan 2027 (in 83 days)
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceCAD 47.11
Fair value range24.01–42.28base 30.71
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook9.1% / yr≈ CAD 72.74 in 5 yrs

Other models: CAD 23.72–119.30 (median 71.51). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

Dividend discount model

Market price above modeled range

Uses reported dividends of CAD 2.2380 per share from TTM through 30 Sep 2026, with 2.9% perpetual growth (base growth capped at the terminal rate) and 10.4% discount rates. The range varies growth and discount assumptions by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 8.66%, discount rate 10.40%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 8.7% (sector default 7.0%, own revenue history 10.3%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — CAD 30.71 (-34.8%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — CAD 23.72 (-49.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — CAD 119.30 (+153.2%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — CAD 324.89 (+589.6%)
    Not used: Used only when cash-flow models land far below the price; here they do not.
Illustrative range / share CAD 24.01–42.28
Base scenario / share CAD 30.71
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear CAD 24.01-96.2%
Base CAD 30.71-53.4%
Bull CAD 42.28-11.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 5.4% dividend growth

At CAD 47.11 the market implies perpetual dividend growth of about this rate (discount rate 10.4%).

Compare: the market implies 5.4% a year, this model assumes 2.9%. The market expects more than this model does, which is why it reads as overvalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Dividend discount model value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price. Dividend growth cannot exceed the long-run rate, so duplicate capped scenarios are omitted.

Growth \ Discount 8.4%9.4%10.4%11.4%12.4%
-1.1% 23.30 21.08 19.25 17.71 16.40
0.9% 30.11 26.57 23.77 21.51 19.64
2.9% 41.87 35.43 30.71 27.09 24.24

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +10.2% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 4.8x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 40%20 / 20

Peers in Communication Services

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
RCI-B.TO (this company) CAD 47.11 -53.4% 27.3 1.5 4.8% 80
VOD.L Vodafone Group Public Limited Company GBP 1.14 43.5% – 0.6 3.3% 66
PUB.PA Publicis Groupe S.A. EUR 102.40 42.1% 15.7 2.5 3.5% 90
CMCSA Comcast USD 24.23 40.8% 7.6 0.9 5.6% 82
TEF.MC Telefonica, S.A. EUR 3.34 34.2% – – 9.0% 59
INF.L Informa plc GBP 8.40 23.0% – 1.9 2.4% 66
SONY Sony Group Corporation USD 26.66 22.1% – – – 82
EMBRAC-B.ST Embracer Group AB SEK 95.20 18.7% – 1.0 – 56
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) USD 286.13 10.4% 15.0 5.2 0.3% 100
Peer median 15.0 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: CAD 2.00 per share · yield 4.25% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.500
20252.000
20242.000
20232.000
20222.000
20212.000
Sector Communication Services
Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange
Currency CAD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 14:12

RevenueCAD 22,712,000,000
EBITDACAD 9,012,000,000
EBITCAD 4,052,000,000
Net incomeCAD 937,000,000
Free cash flowCAD 3,409,000,000
Capital expendituresCAD 2,961,000,000
DebtCAD 46,638,000,000
CashCAD 3,152,000,000
Working capitalCAD -5,681,000,000
Shares outstanding542,000,000
Reported dividends per shareCAD 2.2380